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Tuesday, 5 January 2016

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2016-01-04 | NO.20(1) epaper |
Regional Issues
7 Events of Geopolitical Consequence to Anticipate in Asia in 2016 (2015-12-31)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) In January 2016, we’ll see elections in Taiwan, the formal operational launch of China’s Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, the possible resumption of peace talks between the Afghan government and the Taliban, the first steps toward renewed comprehensive talks between India and China, and the possible disintegration of a recently concluded controversial deal between the Japanese and South Korean governments on comfort women. 
East China Sea Disputes and Japan Policy
South Korea, Japan Agree ‘Comfort Women’ Accord (2015-12-29)
(Reuters) Japan is to draw on its government budget for a US$8.3 million fund for the women and is to work with South Korea to run a program to restore their dignity.

Japan Must Apologize, Compensate: Ma (2015-12-30)
(CNA) Representative to Japan Shen Ssu-tsun has been ordered to conduct talks with Tokyo on a deal similar to one struck by Japan and South Korea.
Japan Agrees to ‘Comfort Women’ Talks: Minister (2015-12-31)
(Taipei Times) Minister of Foreign Affairs David Lin said that Taiwan and Japan have agreed to begin negotiations over the issue of Taiwanese “comfort women,” adding that he is confident the talks could yield positive outcomes.
China and Other Issues between Japan and South Korea (2016-01-02)
(The National Interest, By Doug Bandow) The South Korean-Japanese settlement is a positive step. But while it will ease tensions between America’s two top allies, it isn’t likely to turn their relationship into a new anti-China axis.
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
China, the U.S. and the Coming Taiwan Transition (2015-12-29)
(The Diplomat, By Douglas Paal) The impending elections in Taiwan have the potential to lead to strains at all three corners of the Taiwan-U.S.-China triangle for the first time in over seven years. Parallel interests in all three leaderships do not fundamentally clash, leaving space for careful and creative management of the Taiwan political transition. But there is enough suspicion and mistrust across the Taiwan Strait that a vicious circle of action and reaction cannot be ruled out and probably should be subject to active policy prevention. 
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Quota for China Students to Rise: Gov't (2015-12-29)
(CNA) The government announced that it would expand the admission quota for mainland Chinese students pursuing associate to bachelor's degrees in Taiwan starting next year.

Taiwan, China Launch New Hotline Following Historic Ma-Xi Meeting (2015-12-31)
(China Post) Mainland Affairs Council Minister Andrew Hsia and the head of mainland China's Taiwan Affairs Office Zhang Zhijun spoke via a newly introduced telephone hotline for the first time on Wednesday and exchanged New Year's greetings.

Trade in Goods Talks 'Probably' Before Election (2015-12-31)
(China Post) Minister of Economic Affairs John Deng confirmed that negotiations on a cross-strait trade in goods pact would not be held before year's end. Deng, however, would not rule out negotiations continuing before next year's national elections on Jan. 16.
Nation Well-Placed to Become Offshore Yuan Trading Hub: FSC (2015-12-31)
(CNA) Tseng Ming-chung, chairman of the Financial Supervisory Commission, said he is confident that Taiwan will play a major role in yuan trading, as it is now the biggest yuan exchange rate futures market, having overtaken Hong Kong, Singapore and Chicago.
Cross-Strait Aviation Safety Pact Comes into Effect, SEF Says (2016-01-01)
(Taipei Times) The Cross-Strait Civilian Flight Safety and Flight Cooperation Accord went into effect yesterday after a promulgation notice was sent to China’s ARATS, the Straits Exchange Foundation said.
Government to Open Up Agricultural Market, with Conditions (2016-01-01)
(China Post) The types of agricultural products Taiwan will import from China are restricted to those that are not grown domestically and those that Taiwan already imports from other countries, Vice Economics Minister Cho Shih-chao said.
Ma Reiterates Importance of '1992 Consensus' (2016-01-03)
(CNA) Ma said that his meeting in November with his mainland Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in Singapore was aimed at establishing a peaceful "cross-strait bridge" and that whoever is elected as Taiwan's next president can use it as long as there is respect for the "1992 Consensus" as a "traffic regulation."
PLA, Military Balance and Arms Sales
China Says It Is Building Its Second Aircraft Carrier (2016-01-01)
(New York Times, By Chris Buckley) China is building a second aircraft carrier, the country’s Ministry of National Defense confirmed. But unlike the first, this one will be produced entirely using China’s own designs and technology, the ministry said.
China Unveils New Military Units (2016-01-03)
(AFP) China has unveiled changes to the structure of its military, adding three new units, described by Chinese President Xi Jinping as “a major policy decision to realize the Chinese dream of a strong army,” state media reported.

Candidates Address Issue of Arms Procurement
 (2015-12-28)
(CNA) The presidential candidates of both the ruling Kuomintang and the opposition DPP have advocated that Taiwan must develop its own defense industry. 
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Nearly Half of Taiwanese Favor Tsai-Chen Ticket--TISR Survey (2016-12-14)
(TISR) Nearly half of Taiwanese prefer Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) and her vice presidential candidate Chen Chien-jen (陳建仁) to their Kuomintang (KMT) and People First Party (PFP) rivals, according to the latest Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).

2016 Elections: Candidates Debate Pork, Trade, China
 (2015-12-28)
(Taipei Times) Tsai Ing-wen said that, if elected, she would use Japan’s and South Korea’s legal limits on the amount of leanness-enhancing additives as a reference while setting the nation’s own limit.
Tsai Shows Weakness in China and Diplomatic Issues (2015-12-28)
(CNA) Tsai emphasized her rational and open attitudes toward cross-strait talks while differentiating herself from the KMT's pro-China positions. Yet she was still squaring the circle in a dance of words that were sometimes too complicated for her own good.
Support for Tsai Slides, Chu and Soong Get Boost (2015-12-30)
(Taipei Times) DPP presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen’s support rating has declined noticeably following Sunday’s televised presidential debate, while those of the other two candidates have increased mildly, according to a survey released by the Cross-Strait Policy Association.
Plurality of Taiwanese Still Favor Tsai-Chen Ticket--TISR Survey (2016-12-31)
(TISR) A plurality of Taiwanese prefer Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) and her vice presidential candidate Chen Chien-jen (陳建仁) to their Kuomintang (KMT) and People First Party (PFP) rivals, according to the latest Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).
Pig Farmers Threaten Protest Over US Pork (2015-12-31)
(China Post) Taiwan's pig farmers said they would launch a nationwide protest if the central government lifts import barriers on U.S. pork containing ractopamine.
Candidates Spar on Pork, Vote-Buying (2016-01-03)
(Taipei Times) The three presidential candidates crossed words in the second and final televised debate, with DPP candidate Tsai Ing-wen continuing to question KMT candidate Eric Chu over campaign irregularities and the controversial KMT party assets issue, while Chu questioned Tsai’s stance on importing US pork products and PFP candidate James Soong asked Tsai and Chu to clarify their stances on cross-strait economic exchanges.

Candidates Vow to Expand Nation's Int'l Space
 (2015-12-28)
(CNA) When asked what methods she will use to develop Taiwan's relations with foreign countries and expand its international space, Tsai Ing-wen said that a diplomatic truce between Taiwan and China over the past few years has confused Taiwan's diplomats as to what their duties entail.

Ma Blasts Tsai Over ‘Diplomatic Truce’ (2015-12-30)
(Taipei Times) President Ma Ying-jeou lashed out at DPP presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen for challenging his “diplomatic truce” policy, saying whoever opposed it has clearly forgotten the lessons of history.
Ma Promotes 'Viable Diplomacy,' China Ties in New Year's Speech (2016-01-02)
(CNA) President Ma Ying-jeou said Friday that the policy of "viable diplomacy" he has advocated over the past seven years has been a success and has won respect from the international community.
Papua New Guinea Opens Up Representative Office in Taiwan (2016-01-01)
(CNA) The Papua New Guinea Trade Office in Taiwan opened Thursday, which will strengthen exchanges and cooperation between the two countries in areas such as trade, business, investment and tourism, the MOFA said.
Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey, First Half of December 2015 (2016-12-14)
(TISR) President Ma Ying-jeou's approval rating dropped 1.5 percentage points over the first ten days of December, according to the latestTaiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).
Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey, Second Half of December 2015 (2016-12-31)
(TISR) President Ma Ying-jeou's approval rating rose 2.4 percentage points over the latter part of December, according to the latest Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
China-Led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank Enters into Force: What Next? (2015-12-30)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) On December 25, the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank effectively launched in earnest, marking a major milestone in China’s bid to play a more active role in global governance and development.
Philippines to (Finally) Join China's Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (2015-12-31)
(The Diplomat, By Shannon Tiezzi) The Philippines has decided to join the Chinese-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank after all, following months of hedging as the government in Manila considered the pros and cons.

China Grants Courts Greater Autonomy on Limited Matters (2016-01-03)
(New York Times, By Ian Johnson) The reforms would put all courts under provincial administration. Although this still means government control over the courts, the effect could be significant at the local level.
Contact: Dalton Lin, Executive Editor
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