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The Egypt Crisis in a Global Context: A Special Report
It is not at all clear what will happen in the Egyptian revolution. It
is not a surprise that this is happening. Hosni Mubarak has been
president for more than a quarter of a century, ever since the
assassination of Anwar Sadat. He is old and has been ill. No one
expected him to live much longer, and his apparent plan, which was that
he would be replaced by his son, Gamal, was not going to happen even
though it was a possibility a year ago. There was no one, save his
closest business associates, who wanted to see Mubarak’s succession
plans happen. As his father weakened, Gamal’s succession became even
less likely. Mubarak’s failure to design a credible succession plan
guaranteed instability on his death. Since everyone knew that there
would be instability on his death, there were obviously those who saw
little advantage to acting before he died. Who these people were and
what they wanted is the issue. Read more »
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