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TSR
Interview Series: Pieter Bottelier
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TSR Interview with Peiter Bottelier (2015-06-17) (TSR,
Kristian McGuire) Taiwan Security Research’s Kristian McGuire speaks with Pieter
Bottelier, Senior Adjunct Professor of China Studies at Johns Hopkins
University’s School of Advanced International Studies and former Chief of the
World Bank's Resident Mission in Beijing, about China’s motivations for
initiating AIIB, the significance of the AIIB Charter, and more in
this TSR
interview.
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South
China Sea Disputes
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As Tensions with U.S. Grow, Beijing Says It Will Stop Building
Artificial Islands in South China Sea (2015-06-17) (New
York Times, By Edward Wong and Jane Perlez) By declaring that it would soon
complete its contentious program of building artificial islands in the South
China Sea, Beijing hopes to diminish tensions with the United States while
reassuring its home audience that it has delivered on its pledge to resist
American military pressure, experts said. Japan Warns China against Changing Status Quo with Its
Island-Building (2015-06-18) (Taipei
Times) Japan warned China that its extensive land reclamation in the disputed
South China Sea does not make ownership “a done deal,” after Beijing announced
it had almost finished its controversial island-building. Aquino's Office Reviewing Fisheries Draft, Will Not Deal with
Borders, Manila Says (2015-06-18) (Taipei
Times) The Philippines said that it was studying a draft fisheries agreement
with Taiwan as tensions in rich border fishing grounds re-emerged. Who Is the Biggest Aggressor in the South China
Sea? (2015-06-21) (The
Diplomat, By Greg Austin) In 1996, Vietnam occupied 24 features in the Spratly
Islands. At that time, according to the same source, China occupied nine. By
2015, according to the United States government, Vietnam occupied 48 features,
and China occupied eight. A Closer Look at the South China Sea (2015-06-17) (The
Diplomat, By Shannon Tiezzi) Bonnie Glaser discusses the issues at play in the
South China Sea disputes and what can be done to address them.
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U.S.
“Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
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Interview: Joseph Nye (2015-06-10) (The
Diplomat, By Samuel Ramani) Author and political scientist Joseph Nye on China
and the U.S. rebalance to Asia.
China and US Agree on Code of Conduct for Military
Aircraft (2015-06-16) (Reuters)
The US and Chinese armies have agreed on a framework for dialogue, and will soon
augment a shared code of conduct with guidelines to avert errors or mishaps when
their aircraft operate near each other, the China Daily newspaper
reported.
Obama's Pacific Trade Pact Revived in U.S. House, Heads to
Senate (2015-06-18) (Reuters,
By Krista Hughes and Richard Cowan) The U.S. House of Representatives on
Thursday reversed course, approving "fast-track" legislation central to
President Barack Obama's trade deal with Pacific Rim nations and sending it back
to the Senate. Coming Attractions: Election Season Hits Taiwan (2015-06-18) (Foreign
Policy Research Institute, By Shelley Rigger) The U.S., like Taiwan’s
electorate, would seem to be rethinking the idea that closer cross-Strait
relations are always preferable. US to Face China Head-on at Talks Over Difference (2015-06-20) (Reuters)
US Assistant Secretary of State for East Asia and the Pacific Daniel Russel set
the scene for contentious exchanges at the annual US-China Strategic and
Economic Dialogue by stressing that differences over the South China Sea,
cybersecurity and human rights would be high on the US
agenda. Attack Gave Chinese Hackers Privileged Access to U.S.
Systems (2015-06-21) (New
York Times, By David E. Sanger, Nicole Perlroth and Michael D. Shear) Undetected
for nearly a year, Chinese intruders executed a sophisticated hack that gave
them “administrator privileges” in government networks. Their ultimate target:
information on anyone seeking a security clearance.
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DPP
Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
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Plurality of Taiwanese
Believe Tsai's Status Quo Means No Name Change, No Independence--TISR
Survey (2015-06-11) (TISR)
According to the latest Taiwan Mood
Barometer Survey (in
Chinese), a plurality of Taiwanese interpret DPP presidential candidate Tsai
Ing-wen's declaration that, if elected president, she will maintain the status
quo in cross-Strait relations and preserve the ROC constitutional order to mean
that she will not seek to change the ROC name or establish a new independent
country.
China's ‘United Front’ in 26% of ‘Exchanges’:
DPP (2015-06-16) (Taipei
Times) One-quarter of the Chinese who visited Taiwan as foreign professionals
last year have connections to political or government agencies and traveled to
Taiwan to bolster Beijing’s “united front” tactics, Democratic Progressive Party
Legislator Chen Chi-mai said.
Constitution Does Not Allow Independence, Hung
Says (2015-06-17) (Taipei
Times) ROC Constitution allows no possibility of Taiwanese independence, KMT
presidential hopeful Hung Hsiu-chu said, when asked whether she would take a
more radical approach to pushing for cross-strait
unification. Hung Gathers Pace, Aspires to Move Forward on
China (2015-06-17) (China
Post) In remarks made to the press yesterday, Hung tried to dispel fears that
she advocates immediate unification with China, saying that the process would
hinge on the nation's constitution and popular will. KMT Adds ‘1992 Consensus’ to Guidelines Draft (2015-06-18) (Taipei
Times) The KMT included the so-called “1992 consensus” into the draft amendments
to its policy guidelines. Visa-Free Move Positive for Ties: Cabinet (2015-06-19) (China
Post) The Cabinet believes the visa-free privilege for Taiwanese travelers to
China is a "positive action for cross-strait relations," Cabinet spokesman Sun
Lih-chyun said at the weekly Cabinet meeting. Local Banks' Exposure to Mainland China Falls Further As of
End-March (2015-06-21) (CNA)
Lending extended by Taiwan's banks to China as of the end of March fell further
from the end of December with market analysts attributing the fall to Taiwanese
financial authorities' move to tighten monitoring of banks' exposure to the
mainland.
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PLA
and Military Balance
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How China Practices the Invasion of Taiwan (2015-06-17) (The
Diplomat, By Franz-Stefan Gady) The People’s Liberation Army has recently been
practicing the invasion of Taiwan with a number of joint air-sea military
exercises in and around the Bashi Channel, in close proximity to Taiwanese
territory.
US Bill Paves the Way for Military Visits (2015-06-21) (Taipei
Times, By William Lowther) The US Senate has passed a bill that could change and
greatly improve military relations with Taiwan by allowing active-duty flag and
general officers to visit the nation.
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Taiwan's
Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
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Party Identification
Tracking Analysis in Taiwan, May 2015 (2015-06-04) (TISR)
Taiwan Indicators Survey Research released its May
surveyresults
(in Chinese) on the public's party identities. The percentage of Taiwanese who
expressed support for the DPP or other Pan-Green parties dropped 0.2 percentage
point month-on-month to 31.9%.
Interparty Talks on Constitutional Reform Fall
Apart (2015-06-16) (Taipei
Times) Interparty negotiations on constitutional amendments broke down, despite
attempts at mediation by Legislative Speaker Wang
Jin-pyng.
AIT's Moy Reaffirms US' Stance (2015-06-18) (Taipei
Times) The new director of the American Institute in Taiwan said that Americans
are fans of Taiwan, and he was looking forward to working
here. US Official Questions ‘One China’ (2015-06-19) (Taipei
Times, By William Lowther) Washington’s “one China” policy could be
“unsustainable,” US House of Representatives Subcommittee on Asia and the
Pacific Chairman Matt Salmon said.
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China's
Rise and Its Domestic Issues
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Taiwan Still Expecting to Join AIIB: MAC Minister (2015-06-18) (CNA)
Although the AIIB has yet to be established and is still considering
applications from prospective members, Minister of the Mainland Affairs Council
Hsia Li-yan said that he expects Taiwan will be allowed to join the
AIIB.
Hong Kong Lawmakers Reject ‘Fake Democracy’
Package (2015-06-19) (AFP)
Hong Kong lawmakers rejected a Beijing-backed electoral reform package derided
as "fake democracy" during mass protests last year, leaving the city in deadlock
over how its leader should be chosen. ‘Hong Kong Is Quite Seriously Divided’ (2015-06-18) (Foreign
Policy, By Suzanne Sataline) Democracy — even a half-cooked version with Chinese
characteristics — will not be coming soon to Hong Kong. On June 18, the city’s
legislature, the Legislative Council, vetoed a constitutional amendment that
would have let Hong Kong voters cast ballots for their chief executive — albeit
for a maximum of 3 candidates, restricted and vetted by Beijing — in
2017. Contact:
Dalton Lin, Executive Editor
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