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South
China Sea Disputes and Other Regional Issues
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China Working on Third Airstrip in S China Sea:
Expert (2015-09-16) (Reuters)
China appears to be carrying out preparatory work for a third airstrip in
contested territory in the South China Sea, a US expert said, citing satellite
photographs taken last week. China Wins the
Gray Zone by Default (2015-09-17) (PacNet
#60, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Denny Roy) China is beating the United States in
the “gray zone,” where a state attempts to make gains at the expense of a
strategic competitor by using tactics that, while aggressive, remain below the
level that usually triggers conventional military
retaliation. Warily Eyeing China, Philippines May Invite U.S. Back to Subic
Bay (2015-09-21) (New
York Times, By Javier C. Hernandez) With China forcefully pressing its claim to
a vast expanse of sea west of here, the Philippines is now debating whether to
welcome the United States Navy back to the deepwater docks, airstrips and craggy
shores of Subic Bay.
N. Korea Confirms Restart of Plutonium
Reactor (2015-09-15) (AFP)
North Korea confirmed that the nuclear reactor seen as the country's main source
of weapons-grade plutonium had resumed normal operations.
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Diaoyutai
Disputes Resurface and Japan Policy
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Japanese, China Express Opposition to Law Change (2015-09-20) (AFP)
Japanese opposition groups vowed to challenge laws passed overnight that clear
Japanese troops to fight abroad for the first time since World War II, while
Beijing voiced concern. ‘Promote Peace’: ROC to Japan After Security Bills
Pass (2015-09-20) (CNA)
Taiwan is hoping that Japan will fulfill its international responsibility and
contribute to international peace and stability, a foreign ministry spokesperson
said, after Japan's parliament passed two controversial security
bills.
Experts Tout Japan Defense Adjustment (2015-09-20) (Taipei
Times) Former representative to Japan Koh Se-kai said changes to military rules
could benefit Taiwan in a potential fight with China over unification.
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U.S.
“Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
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US President to Host Chinese Leader Xi for His Sept. 25 State
Visit (2015-09-17) (AFP,
By Andrew Beatty) U.S. President Barack Obama will offer his mainland Chinese
counterpart Xi Jinping a full state welcome at the White House on Sept. 25, amid
deep and growing tensions between the top economic and political
powers.
Xi Jinping, Chinese Leader, Has Weighty Agenda and Busy Schedule
for U.S. Visit (2015-09-18) (New
York Times, By Jane Perlez and Yufan Huang) Though common ground may be found on
issues like climate change, Mr. Xi is expected to yield little on points of
contention between the United States and China, including cyberespionage,
island-building in disputed areas of the South China Sea, and tightened controls
on foreign businesses and nongovernmental organizations operating in
China.
Taiwan to Be on Xi-Obama Talk Agenda: China (2015-09-17) (Reuters)
Chinese President Xi Jinping is to raise the issue of Taiwan in his talks with
US President Barack Obama next week, the Chinese government
said. Cyberthreat Posed by China and Iran Confounds White
House (2015-09-16) (New
York Times, By David E. Sanger) President Obama issued a warning: “There comes a
point at which we consider this a core national security threat.” If China and
other nations cannot figure out the boundaries of what is acceptable, “we can
choose to make this an area of competition, which I guarantee you we’ll win if
we have to.” Obama Hints at Sanctions Against China Over
Cyberattacks (2015-09-17) (New
York Times, By Julie Hirschfeld Davis) President Obama warned that his
administration was ready to take action against China over online attacks
carried out by Beijing or its proxies, publicly raising the specter of sanctions
a week before President Xi Jinping arrives in the United States for a state
visit. U.S. and China Seek Arms Deal for Cyberspace (2015-09-19) (New
York Times, By David E. Sanger) The United States and China are negotiating what
could become the first arms control accord for cyberspace, embracing a
commitment by each country that it will not be the first to use cyberweapons to
cripple the other’s critical infrastructure during peacetime, according to
officials involved in the talks. When Xi Meets Obama: Why China Won’t Get What It Wants
Most (2015-09-11) (Asia
Unbound, CFR, By Elizabeth C. Economy) Based on what I heard at a U.S.-China
dialogue in Beijing over Labor Day weekend, the summit is unlikely to give China
the outcomes it wants most, because what it wants the United States is not
prepared to give. Xi's U.S. Visit Clear Sign of China's Commitment to
Cooperation (2015-09-18) (Xinhua,
By Li Cheng) Chinese President Xi Jinping's upcoming visit to the United States
is a clear sign of China's determination to pursue a cooperative path in
Sino-U.S. relations, a top China expert has said. US Should be Tough toward China (2015-09-18) (Taipei
Times, By Doug Bandow) US policy toward Beijing can, and perhaps should, be
tough. However, it should not be stupid. Sino-U.S. Ties Need a Strategic Rethinking (2015-09-21) (Beijing
Review, By Calvin Palmer) From China's perspective, its strategic rethinking
should follow the idea developed by the late Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping in the
1970-80s. From a U.S. perspective, strategic rethinking should relate to whether
a prosperous and stable China or a chaotic and collapsed China serves the best
interests of the United States. What a Turnbull-Led Foreign Policy Might Look
Like (2015-02-08) (The
Interpreter, Lowy Institute, By Hugh White) Turnbull's starting point is the
magnitude of the shift in the distribution of wealth and power occurring with
the rise of Asia, led by China, which he sees as 'the great geopolitical
transformation of our time'. He believes this will inevitably drive major
changes in the way the world works.
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DPP
Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
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Most Want to Continue ‘Status Quo’: Poll (2015-09-17) (Taipei
Times) A poll by the Chinese-language United Daily News (UDN) found 55 percent
of respondents favor perpetual maintenance of the cross-strait “status quo,” a
rise of 8 percent from last year.
DPP Candidate Tsai Promises to Maintain Status Quo If
Elected (2015-09-17) (CNA)
Opposition DPP presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen said that maintaining the
status quo with China is a common consensus in Taiwanese society and conforms to
the interests of all parties. Difficult Choices Await the Mainland After Taiwan's Election: US
Expert (2015-09-16) (CNA)
The real test of cross-Taiwan Strait relations will begin after Taiwan's 2016
presidential election if the new government does not accept the "1992
Consensus," a U.S. expert said. Disruption of Cross-Strait Stability Possible:
Academic (2015-09-16) (Taipei
Times, By William Lowther) Policymakers might have to face the possibility of a
“disruption of stability” in the Taiwan Strait, a US academic told a conference
in Washington. Taiwan Might Present US Big Foreign Policy
Challenge (2015-09-18) (Taipei
Times, By William Lowther) Taiwan might be the largest foreign policy challenge
that the US faces over the next decade in its relationship with China, former
member of the US National Security Council Michael Green said.
Taiwan, China to Discuss Banking Oversight
Accord (2015-09-15) (CNA)
Taiwan and China will hold their latest round of talks under a bilateral
platform on cooperation in supervising the banking sector in Nantou County,
Central Taiwan next week. KMT Set to Push Cross-Strait Taxation Pact (2015-09-15) (CNA)
The KMT government will be prioritizing passage of a cross-strait agreement on
double taxation avoidance as well as bills on the budget, government
restructuring and an all-volunteer military in the fall legislative session that
opens Tuesday, Premier Mao Chi-kuo said.
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Military
Balance and Arms Sales
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US Group Outlines Taiwan Defense Scenarios (2015-09-20) (Taipei
Times, By William Lowther) The US could defend Taiwan from a Chinese military
attack, but defeating a Chinese invasion force is likely to become increasingly
difficult in coming years, a report from the RAND Corporation said.
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Taiwan's
Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
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Soong Trails Hung in TISR Poll (2015-09-15) (Taipei
Times) Tsai Ing-wen continued to dominate the polls, garnering a support rating
of 43.6%, followed by Hung with 15.4% and Soong with 14.7
%. Taiwan Mood Barometer
Survey, First Half of September 2015 (2015-09-14) (TISR)
President Ma Ying-jeou's approval rating fell 2.1 percentage points over the
first 10 days of September, according to the latestTaiwan Mood
Barometer Survey (in
Chinese). Support for Ma Remains Low: Poll (2015-09-19) (Taipei
Times) Asked whom they would support in the Jan. 16 presidential election if the
candidates remained Tsai Ing-wen of the DPP, Hung Hsiu-chu of the KMT and James
Soong of the People First Party, 46.8 percent of respondents chose Tsai, 17.2
percent picked Hung and 16.7 percent favored Soong.
Taiwan, US to Hold TIFA Talks Next Month at
Earlist (2015-09-18) (Taipei
Times) Taiwan and the US are to hold talks under the bilateral Trade and
Investment Framework Agreement next month at the earliest, Minister of Economic
Affairs John Deng said.
Japan Supports Taiwan Joining TPP Talks:
Official (2015-09-15) (CNA)
Japan is willing to support Taiwan's participation in the negotiations over the
proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement, an official of the National
Development Council said.
Air Force to Take Part in European National-Level
Drill (2015-09-16) (CNA)
The air force is to participate in a drill with a European country next year, a
local newspaper reported.
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China's
Rise and Its Domestic Issues
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Understanding Xi's Contradictions (2015-09-17) (Brookings,
By Li Cheng) As the leader of a rapidly changing country with contrasting views
and values, as well as conflicting interests, Xi Jinping is wise to strike a
delicate balance between various constituencies and socioeconomic
forces.
Xi Jinping and China's Future: The Bigger Problems Lie
Within (2015-09-21) (The
National Interest, By Allen R. Carlson) The bigger problem with China then is
not how it is approaching its neighbors, but how its government is handling its
own people. It is not too late to remind Xi that closing China off is
unwise. Thailand on Board with OBOR, Taiwan's Status Unclear:
Analysts (2015-09-18) (China
Post) Thailand appears to be fully on board with China's One Belt, One Road
infrastructure project but the Philippines and Myanmar are cautious. Meanwhile,
the status of Taiwan's bid to invest in One Belt, One Road remains unclear,
analysts said. China's
Preferred World Order: What Does China Want? (2015-09-21) (PacNet
#62, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Sun Yun) As the US and China prepare for President
Xi Jinping’s first state visit to the United States, the world awaits the two
leaders’ answers to long-standing issues in the bilateral relationship. In
particular, there is great anticipation surrounding China’s explanations of its
basic attitude toward global order.
Contact:
Dalton Lin, Executive Editor
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