Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Tuesday, 22 September 2015

epaper_image
2015-09-22 | NO.19(38) epaper |
South China Sea Disputes and Other Regional Issues
China Working on Third Airstrip in S China Sea: Expert (2015-09-16)
(Reuters) China appears to be carrying out preparatory work for a third airstrip in contested territory in the South China Sea, a US expert said, citing satellite photographs taken last week.
China Wins the Gray Zone by Default (2015-09-17)
(PacNet #60, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Denny Roy) China is beating the United States in the “gray zone,” where a state attempts to make gains at the expense of a strategic competitor by using tactics that, while aggressive, remain below the level that usually triggers conventional military retaliation.
Warily Eyeing China, Philippines May Invite U.S. Back to Subic Bay (2015-09-21)
(New York Times, By Javier C. Hernandez) With China forcefully pressing its claim to a vast expanse of sea west of here, the Philippines is now debating whether to welcome the United States Navy back to the deepwater docks, airstrips and craggy shores of Subic Bay.

N. Korea Confirms Restart of Plutonium Reactor
 (2015-09-15)
(AFP) North Korea confirmed that the nuclear reactor seen as the country's main source of weapons-grade plutonium had resumed normal operations. 
Diaoyutai Disputes Resurface and Japan Policy
Japanese, China Express Opposition to Law Change (2015-09-20)
(AFP) Japanese opposition groups vowed to challenge laws passed overnight that clear Japanese troops to fight abroad for the first time since World War II, while Beijing voiced concern.
‘Promote Peace’: ROC to Japan After Security Bills Pass (2015-09-20)
(CNA) Taiwan is hoping that Japan will fulfill its international responsibility and contribute to international peace and stability, a foreign ministry spokesperson said, after Japan's parliament passed two controversial security bills.

Experts Tout Japan Defense Adjustment (2015-09-20)
(Taipei Times) Former representative to Japan Koh Se-kai said changes to military rules could benefit Taiwan in a potential fight with China over unification.
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
US President to Host Chinese Leader Xi for His Sept. 25 State Visit (2015-09-17)
(AFP, By Andrew Beatty) U.S. President Barack Obama will offer his mainland Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping a full state welcome at the White House on Sept. 25, amid deep and growing tensions between the top economic and political powers.

Xi Jinping, Chinese Leader, Has Weighty Agenda and Busy Schedule for U.S. Visit (2015-09-18)
(New York Times, By Jane Perlez and Yufan Huang) Though common ground may be found on issues like climate change, Mr. Xi is expected to yield little on points of contention between the United States and China, including cyberespionage, island-building in disputed areas of the South China Sea, and tightened controls on foreign businesses and nongovernmental organizations operating in China.

Taiwan to Be on Xi-Obama Talk Agenda: China (2015-09-17)
(Reuters) Chinese President Xi Jinping is to raise the issue of Taiwan in his talks with US President Barack Obama next week, the Chinese government said.
Cyberthreat Posed by China and Iran Confounds White House (2015-09-16)
(New York Times, By David E. Sanger) President Obama issued a warning: “There comes a point at which we consider this a core national security threat.” If China and other nations cannot figure out the boundaries of what is acceptable, “we can choose to make this an area of competition, which I guarantee you we’ll win if we have to.”
Obama Hints at Sanctions Against China Over Cyberattacks  (2015-09-17)
(New York Times, By Julie Hirschfeld Davis) President Obama warned that his administration was ready to take action against China over online attacks carried out by Beijing or its proxies, publicly raising the specter of sanctions a week before President Xi Jinping arrives in the United States for a state visit.
U.S. and China Seek Arms Deal for Cyberspace (2015-09-19)
(New York Times, By David E. Sanger) The United States and China are negotiating what could become the first arms control accord for cyberspace, embracing a commitment by each country that it will not be the first to use cyberweapons to cripple the other’s critical infrastructure during peacetime, according to officials involved in the talks.
When Xi Meets Obama: Why China Won’t Get What It Wants Most (2015-09-11)
(Asia Unbound, CFR, By Elizabeth C. Economy) Based on what I heard at a U.S.-China dialogue in Beijing over Labor Day weekend, the summit is unlikely to give China the outcomes it wants most, because what it wants the United States is not prepared to give.
Xi's U.S. Visit Clear Sign of China's Commitment to Cooperation (2015-09-18)
(Xinhua, By Li Cheng) Chinese President Xi Jinping's upcoming visit to the United States is a clear sign of China's determination to pursue a cooperative path in Sino-U.S. relations, a top China expert has said.
US Should be Tough toward China (2015-09-18)
(Taipei Times, By Doug Bandow) US policy toward Beijing can, and perhaps should, be tough. However, it should not be stupid.
Sino-U.S. Ties Need a Strategic Rethinking (2015-09-21)
(Beijing Review, By Calvin Palmer) From China's perspective, its strategic rethinking should follow the idea developed by the late Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping in the 1970-80s. From a U.S. perspective, strategic rethinking should relate to whether a prosperous and stable China or a chaotic and collapsed China serves the best interests of the United States.
What a Turnbull-Led Foreign Policy Might Look Like (2015-02-08)
(The Interpreter, Lowy Institute, By Hugh White) Turnbull's starting point is the magnitude of the shift in the distribution of wealth and power occurring with the rise of Asia, led by China, which he sees as 'the great geopolitical transformation of our time'. He believes this will inevitably drive major changes in the way the world works.
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Most Want to Continue ‘Status Quo’: Poll (2015-09-17)
(Taipei Times) A poll by the Chinese-language United Daily News (UDN) found 55 percent of respondents favor perpetual maintenance of the cross-strait “status quo,” a rise of 8 percent from last year.

DPP Candidate Tsai Promises to Maintain Status Quo If Elected
 (2015-09-17)
(CNA) Opposition DPP presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen said that maintaining the status quo with China is a common consensus in Taiwanese society and conforms to the interests of all parties.
Difficult Choices Await the Mainland After Taiwan's Election: US Expert (2015-09-16)
(CNA) The real test of cross-Taiwan Strait relations will begin after Taiwan's 2016 presidential election if the new government does not accept the "1992 Consensus," a U.S. expert said.
Disruption of Cross-Strait Stability Possible: Academic (2015-09-16)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Policymakers might have to face the possibility of a “disruption of stability” in the Taiwan Strait, a US academic told a conference in Washington.
Taiwan Might Present US Big Foreign Policy Challenge (2015-09-18)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Taiwan might be the largest foreign policy challenge that the US faces over the next decade in its relationship with China, former member of the US National Security Council Michael Green said.

Taiwan, China to Discuss Banking Oversight Accord
 (2015-09-15)
(CNA) Taiwan and China will hold their latest round of talks under a bilateral platform on cooperation in supervising the banking sector in Nantou County, Central Taiwan next week.
KMT Set to Push Cross-Strait Taxation Pact (2015-09-15)
(CNA) The KMT government will be prioritizing passage of a cross-strait agreement on double taxation avoidance as well as bills on the budget, government restructuring and an all-volunteer military in the fall legislative session that opens Tuesday, Premier Mao Chi-kuo said. 
Military Balance and Arms Sales
US Group Outlines Taiwan Defense Scenarios (2015-09-20)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) The US could defend Taiwan from a Chinese military attack, but defeating a Chinese invasion force is likely to become increasingly difficult in coming years, a report from the RAND Corporation said. 
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Soong Trails Hung in TISR Poll (2015-09-15)
(Taipei Times) Tsai Ing-wen continued to dominate the polls, garnering a support rating of 43.6%, followed by Hung with 15.4% and Soong with 14.7 %.
Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey, First Half of September 2015  (2015-09-14)
(TISR) President Ma Ying-jeou's approval rating fell 2.1 percentage points over the first 10 days of September, according to the latestTaiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).
Support for Ma Remains Low: Poll (2015-09-19)
(Taipei Times) Asked whom they would support in the Jan. 16 presidential election if the candidates remained Tsai Ing-wen of the DPP, Hung Hsiu-chu of the KMT and James Soong of the People First Party, 46.8 percent of respondents chose Tsai, 17.2 percent picked Hung and 16.7 percent favored Soong.

Taiwan, US to Hold TIFA Talks Next Month at Earlist
 (2015-09-18)
(Taipei Times) Taiwan and the US are to hold talks under the bilateral Trade and Investment Framework Agreement next month at the earliest, Minister of Economic Affairs John Deng said.

Japan Supports Taiwan Joining TPP Talks: Official
 (2015-09-15)
(CNA) Japan is willing to support Taiwan's participation in the negotiations over the proposed Trans-Pacific Partnership trade agreement, an official of the National Development Council said.

Air Force to Take Part in European National-Level Drill
 (2015-09-16)
(CNA) The air force is to participate in a drill with a European country next year, a local newspaper reported.


China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
Understanding Xi's Contradictions  (2015-09-17)
(Brookings, By Li Cheng) As the leader of a rapidly changing country with contrasting views and values, as well as conflicting interests, Xi Jinping is wise to strike a delicate balance between various constituencies and socioeconomic forces.

Xi Jinping and China's Future: The Bigger Problems Lie Within (2015-09-21)
(The National Interest, By Allen R. Carlson) The bigger problem with China then is not how it is approaching its neighbors, but how its government is handling its own people. It is not too late to remind Xi that closing China off is unwise.
Thailand on Board with OBOR, Taiwan's Status Unclear: Analysts (2015-09-18)
(China Post) Thailand appears to be fully on board with China's One Belt, One Road infrastructure project but the Philippines and Myanmar are cautious. Meanwhile, the status of Taiwan's bid to invest in One Belt, One Road remains unclear, analysts said.
China's Preferred World Order: What Does China Want? (2015-09-21)
(PacNet #62, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Sun Yun) As the US and China prepare for President Xi Jinping’s first state visit to the United States, the world awaits the two leaders’ answers to long-standing issues in the bilateral relationship. In particular, there is great anticipation surrounding China’s explanations of its basic attitude toward global order.

Contact: Dalton Lin, Executive Editor
Previous