Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Monday 9 March 2015

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2015-03-09 | NO.19(10) epaper |
Diaoyutai Disputes Resurface
Japan, China to Discuss Security for First Time in Four Years (2015-03-05)
(Wall Street Journal, By Henry Hoenig) Japan and China will hold their first security talks in more than four years later this month, a sign of a further thaw in relations.

Taiwan and Japan Agree on Amended Fishing Regulations (2015-03-08)
(CNA) Taiwan and Japan agreed on various amendments to regulations on fishing operations in waters near the disputed Diaoyutai Islands in the East China Sea during their latest round of bilateral fishery talks that concluded in Tokyo.
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
China Debates: Is War with U.S. Inevitable? (2015-03-03)
(National Interest, By Lyle J. Goldstein) In order to better understand Chinese perspectives related to “Thucydides Trap,” this article explores a forum dedicated to that theme in the official Chinese military journal 军事历史 [Military History] that was published by the prestigious Chinese Academy of Military Sciences in 2014.

Superpower Showdown: America Can Stop Chinese Aggression in Asia (2015-03-06)
(National Interest, By Harry J. Kazianis) Beijing needs to be put on notice from here on out the costs of its actions will be steep— like the promotion of a “balancing” coalition that will only grow stronger with every aggressive action China takes.
The Time Is Right for US-China Nuclear Dialogue (2015-03-04)
(PacNet #14, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Ralph A. Cossa and John K. Warden) A meaningful official dialogue will not happen, however, until Washington accommodates what Beijing perceives to be its legitimate security concerns and clarifies its own objectives, and Beijing realizes that further delay could undermine its long-term interests.
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
‘1992 Consensus’ the Core of Cross-Strait Relations: Xi (2015-03-05)
(China Post) Chinese Communist Party General Secretary Xi Jinping said yesterday at the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference that the cross-strait relationship between China and Taiwan is based on the foundation of the “1992 Consensus.”

Ma Reaffirms ‘1992 Consensus,’ Opposition Remains Skeptical
 (2015-03-06)
(CNA) Ma's comments came a day after Chinese President Xi Jinping warned that cross-strait relations could return to a turbulent state if their foundation — in the form of the “1992 Consensus” — is shaken.

Key for Cross-Strait Peace Lies with Both Sides: DPP
 (2015-03-06)
(Taipei Times) DPP Department of Chinese Affairs Director Chao Tien-lin was questioned by reporters over whether the party recognizes the “1992 consensus” and whether it has alternatives to the “1992 consensus” palatable to China.
Public Debunks ‘Status Quo’ Myth (2015-03-07)
(Taipei Times, By Michael Hsiao) There has been a rise in the awareness of national autonomy in Taiwan over the past few years, which has had a clear impact upon both how the “status quo” is defined and on how it might be maintained. This has seen the emergence of a logically consistent, internally coherent trend in public opinion.

China to Delay Controversial Flight Route: CAA
 (2015-03-03)
(China Post) In a joint press conference with the Mainland Affairs Council, the Civil Aeronautics Administration announced that they have reached a preliminary agreement with mainland China to delay the implementation of flight path M503 that was originally scheduled to start on March 5.
M503 Route Setback for Beijing's Lofty Plans (2015-03-07)
(Taipei Times, By Fan Shih-ping) If China had insisted on launching the new route as scheduled, the DPP and the entire pan-green camp would inevitably have attacked the decision, and the DPP and the KMT would have criticized the CCP with one voice. That would have had a significantly negative impact.

Alibaba Announces NT$10 Bil. Funding for Taiwan's Youth
 (2015-03-03)
(China Post) Chinese retail powerhouse Alibaba Group said it has earmarked NT$10 billon to fund Taiwanese youth who want to build up a business on its e-commerce systems.

Chinese Venture Capital Cannot Have Control Over Local Companies: MOEA (2015-03-07)
(China Post) Venture capital companies are open to Chinese investment, however, such investment may not have control over the companies, the Ministry of Economic Affairs said.
Cross-Strait Envoys Have Arm's Length Relationship (2015-03-04)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Representative to the US Shen Lyu-shun, when asked whether Beijing’s diplomats overseas ever offered to be friends, replied: ‘No, never.’
PLA, Military Balance and Arms Sales
China's Space Plans Seen as Threat to US Military: Report (2015-03-04)
(Bloomberg) China is developing space technologies aimed at blocking US military communications and destroying its ability to win conflicts, according to a report commissioned by a panel created by the US Congress.

Chinese Capabilities in Space Pose Threat to Taiwan: Expert (2015-03-05)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) An earlier study established that China could image Taiwanese targets 35 times per day and that the PLA could use this capability to enable aircraft and missiles to pinpoint their fire, restrike targets or verify a target’s destruction.
China's Military Budget Increasing 10% for 2015, Official Says (2015-03-05)
(New York Times, By Edward Wong and Chris Buckley) The Chinese military budget for 2015 will be about 10 percent bigger than last year’s, a senior Chinese official said.
China: Exit Counter-Intervention, Enter Peripheral Defense (2015-03-04)
(The Diplomat, By Michael Carl Haas) China’s focus on countering a U.S. military intervention along its periphery is alive and well.

Chief of General Staff Visited Washington: Report (2015-03-06)
(China Post) The Ministry of National Defense said it had no comment regarding a local media report that claimed Taiwan's chief of general staff recently visited the United States.
Agencies Hold Security Meeting (2015-03-07)
(Taipei Times) The arrest of two Military Intelligence Bureau officials on charges of espionage have lighted weaknesses the session was set to address.
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Party Identification Tracking Analysis in Taiwan, February 2015 (2015-03-04)
(TISR) Taiwan Indicators Survey Research released its February surveyresults (in Chinese) on the public's party identities. The percentage of Taiwanese who expressed support for the DPP or other Pan-Green parties edged up 1.5 percentage points month-on-month to 35.5%.

DPP Calls for Two-Stage Constitutional Reform
 (2015-03-07)
(China Post) DPP Chairwoman Tsai Ing-wen expressed the party's consent to a two-stage constitutional amendment, with the first stage focusing on items that have garnered a higher level of consensus.
Taiwan Should Enjoy Its Low Profile: US Official (2015-03-03)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) US Undersecretary of State Wendy Sherman said the nation not making the news was good, as it meant there was peace and stability.

No Japanese War Parade: Gov't
 (2015-03-04)
(China Post) No military parade has been planned this year to commemorate the 70th anniversary of the R.O.C.'s victory over Japan in the Second Sino-Japanese War, the Ministry of National Defense said.

Nation, Turkey to Sign Disaster Management MOU (2015-03-08)
(CNA) Taiwan and Turkey will sign a memorandum of understanding on disaster management “very soon” to strengthen cooperation in disaster response and humanitarian assistance, according to Turkey's representative to Taiwan.
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
The Fragility of the Global Financial Order (2015-03-03)
(Wall Street Journal, By Mark Dubowitz and Jonathan Schanzer) The combination of an alternative global-reserve asset, a Chinese global credit card, an alternative Swift system backed by Russia and China, and a number of banks willing to defy the global financial order, could represent a significant challenge to U.S. interests.

China Sets Growth Target of about 7% for This Year
 (2015-03-06)
(Bloomberg) Premier Li said reforming state-owned enterprises and the banking and financial sectors would be priorities. He also mentioned Taiwan.

Chinese Premier Sketches a Lofty Vision for Private Enterprise but Warns of Obstacles (2015-03-05)
(New York Times, By Andrew Jacobs and Neil Gough) Much of Premier Li Keqiang's so-called work report to the nation focused on encouraging private enterprise, increasing consumer spending and lightening the heavy hand of a government that has long directed economic growth, at times squeezing out innovation and small businesses.

What Is the Future of Chinese Trade? (2015-03-02)
(Agenda, By Long Guoqiang) In the ongoing process of opening that economy, China anticipates growth that focuses less on quantity and more on innovation and internal reforms as well as developing its own approach on global rules-making.
China Names 14 Generals Suspected of Corruption (2015-03-03)
(New York Times, By Dan Levin) China’s military authority on Monday released a list of 14 generals who are under investigation or have been convicted of graft, among them the son of one of China’s once highest-ranking generals.
The Coming Chinese Crackup (2015-03-06)
(Wall Street Journal, By David Shambaugh) The endgame of communist rule in China has begun, and Xi Jinping’s ruthless measures are only bringing the country closer to a breaking point.

Executive Editor: Dalton Lin
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