Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Monday 16 March 2015

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2015-03-16 | NO.19(11) epaper |
Diaoyutai Disputes Resurface
China Plays Helo Card to Shift Military Balance in East China Sea Dispute (2015-03-06)
(China Brief 15(5), Jamestown Foundation, By Peter Wood) The People’s Liberation Army appears to be developing a future strategy for maintaining a patrol and surveillance presence around the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands that would rely heavily on helicopters currently in development, namely the Z-18 and Z-20. 
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Doubts Grow Over ‘1992 Consensus’ (2015-03-13)
(Taipei Times, By Fan Shih-ping) Since Ma’s re-election in 2012, Beijing has gradually moved from the “1992 consensus” toward the “one China” framework, emphasizing that both Taiwan and China are parts of one country.

Chu Plans to Continue Exchanges with China
 (2015-03-10)
(China Post) KMT) Chairman Eric Chu said that as the party's chairman, he will continue attending exchange meetings between the KMT and China's Communist Party, which were started in 2005.
Chu Touts KMT Ties with China, Invited to Visit (2015-03-11)
(Taipei Times) China’s Taiwan Affairs Office spokeswoman said that KMT Chairman Eric Chu was ‘welcome to visit,’ though Chu said that there are no plans for him to visit China.
No Date Yet for Possible Chu-Xi Meeting: KMT (2015-03-12)
(China Post) The time of a possible meeting between New Taipei City Mayor and KMT Chairman Eric Chu and General Secretary of the CCP Xi Jinping remains undetermined, according to Kao Koong-lian, the former vice chairman of the Straits Exchange Foundation and the KMT chairman's special advisor on Chinese affairs.
DPP Questions Chu-Xi Meeting (2015-03-13)
(Taipei Times) DPP accused the KMT of trying to evade legislative oversight of cross-strait affairs following news reports that KMT Chairman and New Taipei City Mayor Eric Chu is scheduled to meet with Chinese President and CCP leader Xi Jinping in May or June.
Cross-Strait Peace Needs to be Pursued through ‘Legal’ Means: Mainland Official (2015-03-15)
(CNA) In an op-ed piece in the People's Daily, the head of China's Taiwan Affairs Office Zhang Zhijun said China is pushing for the rule of law to more deeply bring together the minds of the peoples on both sides of the Taiwan Strait.
‘Anti-Secession’ Act Unrealistic: MAC (2015-03-15)
(Taipei Times) China’s unilateral implementation of the “Anti-Secession” Law showed a failure to recognize reality and respect Taiwanese’s right to choice, the Mainland Affairs Council said in a press release.
Lai Calls for Improved China Ties during Naval Visit (2015-03-10)
(Taipei Times) Tainan City Mayor William Lai called for enhanced cross-strait ties and peaceful development with China, during an inspection of the nation’s warships in Tainan’s Anping Port.

China Must Change Tack with DPP (2015-03-14)
(Taipei Times, By Tung Chen-yuan) China should pragmatically adjust its policies to engage the DPP in dialogue, and establish mutual trust and understanding. That is the only way in which a new model for peaceful cross-strait development can be found.

No Cross-Strait Political Talks: Hsia (2015-03-10)
(Taipei Times) Mainland Affairs Council Minister Andrew Hsia dismissed a recent suggestion by Kao Yu-jen, father-in-law of New Taipei City Mayor and KMT Chairman Eric Chu, that Chu should embark on political talks with Beijing.
MAC Declines Invitation to Chinese WWII Events (2015-03-12)
(Taipei Times) MAC declined an invitation from China for Taiwan to take part in a series of memorial events to mark the end of World War II, as well as the end of the Japanese rule of Taiwan.
PLA and Military Balance
PLA Cyberunit Targeting Taiwan Named (2015-03-10)
(Taipei Times) Senior intelligence officials have identified the specific Chinese military outfit and technical surveillance unit tasked with cyberwarfare against Taiwan and say it is located on the campus of Wuhan University, in Wuhan, Hubei Province.

Chinese Military Threat Real: Minister
 (2015-03-09)
(Taipei Times) The People’s Liberation Army Air Force and Navy have begun air and sea drills in the western Pacific to familiarize its forces with anti-access/area denial strategies, Taiwan's defense minister said.

Taiwan Prepared to Defend Itself Alone: Ex-Defense Minister (2015-03-14)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Provocations and tension from China are on the rise, but Taiwan is always prepared to defend itself — with or without US help — former minister of national defense Andrew Yang told a Washington conference.

Resolution Postpones Push for Military Downsize (2015-03-10)
(China Post) Lawmakers passed a resolution to suspend a new wave of military downsizing set to be launched this July that will further cut the size of the R.O.C. Armed Forces to fewer than 200,000.
More Subsidies for Combat Units to Be Launched Soon (2015-03-10)
(China Post) Taiwan's defense minister said voluntary soldier recruitment is going smoothly but he also confessed that most of the men and women who have signed up to serve in the military so far have decided to join non-combat units instead of combat units.
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Sunflower Movement ‘Not Accidental’ (2015-03-15)
(Taipei Times) The birth of the Sunflower movement might have been unexpected, but its emergence as a demonstration of civic power in the face of Taiwanese capitalists’ colluding with a rising China was not accidental, academics said at a forum in Taipei.

Campbell Urges US, PRC Not to Meddle
 (2015-03-14)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Former US assistant secretary of state for East Asia Kurt Campbell said that the US and China should stay out of Taiwan’s presidential election next year.

New Taipei Mayor Eric Chu Meets with Prime Minister of Singapore
 (2015-03-09)
(CNA) Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong met with New Taipei Mayor Eric Chu and discussed developments in Taiwan and the region in the Southeast Asian city-state, Lee said on his Facebook page.

Bureau Urges ‘Rekindling’ of Taiwan-US Relations (2015-03-11)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) The US National Bureau of Asian Research is urging the US Congress to “rekindle” its contacts with the Legislative Yuan in Taipei as US-China relations move into a potentially difficult period.
Taiwan Donates Funds to Fight Ebola, Winning US Praise (2015-03-12)
(Taipei Times) In a rare move, the US Department of State sent several high-ranking officials to the event, where Taiwan made a US$125,000 donation to the nonprofit Pan American Development Foundation to help in its fight against the Ebola virus.
Taiwan Needs to Meet Standards to Join TPP: US Official (2015-03-14)
(Taipei Times) Taiwan’s desire to join the Trans-Pacific Partnership is a common interest of Taiwan and the US, but the nation must meet certain standards before it gains entry, a US trade official said.
Top US Congressman Backs Taiwan TPP Bid (2015-03-15)
(CNA) Ed Royce, chairman of the U.S. House of Representatives' Committee on Foreign Affairs, reiterated support for Taiwan's bid to join the proposed trade bloc Trans-Pacific Partnership, during a meeting with the leader of Taiwan's opposition DPP in Taipei.
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
The Coming Chinese Crackup (2015-03-06)
(Wall Street Journal, By David Shambaugh) The endgame of communist rule in China has begun, and Xi Jinping’s ruthless measures are only bringing the country closer to a breaking point.

No, China's Not about to Collapse
 (2015-03-13)
(The Diplomat, By Timothy Heath) When weighing the party’s political liabilities against its assets, therefore, the evidence suggests that the CCP faces little danger of imminent collapse. Improvements to its cohesion, competence, and responsiveness, combined with a policy agenda that resonates with most Chinese and the lack of a compelling alternative outweigh the persistent political liabilities.

When Will China's Government Collapse? (2015-03-13)
(Foreign Policy, By Ho-Fung Hung, Arthur R. Kroeber, Howard W. French, and Suisheng Zhao) The endgame of Chinese communist rule has now begun,” influential China scholar David Shambaugh wrote in a March 7 article in the Wall Street Journal. “And it has progressed further than many think.” Is the ruling China’s Communist Party (CCP) on the brink of collapse? We asked several China hands for their take.
With Plan to Join China-Led Bank, Britain Opens Door for Others (2015-03-14)
(New York Times, By Jane Perlez) A surprise decision this week by Britain to join China’s new development bank for Asia, despite opposition from the Obama administration, will almost certainly encourage other American allies to become members, particularly Australia and South Korea, analysts said.
China's AIIB Challenges (2015-03-11)
(PacNet #16, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Sun Yun) In discussions about AIIB outside China, most analysts have focused on the external implications of the bank. However, more attention should be paid to the internal challenges posed by the running of the AIIB. Ensuring that the bank functions effectively may actually undercut China’s ambitious goals.

Executive Editor: Dalton Lin
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