Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Monday, 21 March 2016

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2016-03-21 | NO.20(12) epaper |
South China Sea Disputes
China Says Tsunami Alert Center Opened in South China Sea (2016-03-17)
(Reuters) China has set up a tsunami alert center in the South China Sea, the head of the nation’s maritime regulator said yesterday, in Beijing’s latest effort to bolster its jurisdiction in the disputed waters.

US Sees Chinese Activity Around S China Sea Reef (2016-03-19)
(Reuters) The US has seen Chinese activity around a reef China seized from the Philippines nearly four years ago that could be a precursor to more land reclamation in the disputed South China Sea, the US Navy chief said.

Taipei, Manila Set to Work Together on Illegal Fishing (2016-03-19)
(CNA) Taiwan and the Philippines have agreed to set up a hotline on fishing disputes and cooperate in cracking down on illegal fishing in their overlapping exclusive economic zones, officials said.
East China Sea Disputes and Japan Policy
Japan's Declining Place in Chinese Diplomacy (2016-03-16)
(The Diplomat, By Xue Li and Zheng Yuwen) When it comes to Northeast Asia, South Korea has become China’s key sub-regional partner. Japan now has fallen behind Russia, Kazakhstan, Pakistan, ASEAN, and South Korea on China’s diplomatic priority list. This situation will continue in the foreseeable future, thanks mostly to Japan’s own foreign policy. 
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
China Resumes Diplomatic Relations with Gambia, Shutting Out Taiwan (2016-03-18)
(Sinosphere, By Austin Ramzy) China announced on Thursday that it had resumed diplomatic relations with Gambia, an African nation that had maintained ties with Taiwan for nearly two decades.

Ma Condemns Gambia-China Ties
 (2016-03-18)
(China Post, By Joseph Yeh) President Ma Ying-jeou expressed "strong dissatisfaction" over Taiwan's former ally The Gambia's decision to resume diplomatic relations with mainland China, two and a half years after it severed ties with Taiwan.

DPP Condemns 'Purposeful Competition' on China-Gambia Ties
 (2016-03-18)
(China Post, By Stephanie Chao) The incoming Democratic Progressive Party condemned what it regards as "purposeful competition" on the part of mainland China regarding its resumed ties with The Gambia on Thursday, while the Mainland Affairs Council expressed "extreme dissatisfaction."
Tsai Hopes Gambia Move Not Targeted at Taiwan (2016-03-19)
(CNA) Tsai said there is no need for acts that hurt feelings on both sides of the Strait. Beijing said that re-establishing ties with the Gambia ‘targets no one.’
China's Gambia Gambit a Move to Force Tsai to Acknowledge Consensus (2016-03-18)
(China Post, By Yuan-Ming Chiao) The Gambia will remain a mere gambit if Tsai counters with level-headedness and tact, by recognizing the current fragility of cross-strait ties while at the same time consolidating support at home to build the consensus needed to proceed in building something stronger.
Gambia Case Viewed As Geopolitical Warning to President-Elect: MAC (2016-03-19)
(CNA) The head of the Mainland Affairs Council said that many people regard China's move to resume diplomatic relations with The Gambia as a warning to Taiwan's President-elect Tsai Ing-wen.
China's Forceful 'Reminder' to Taiwan (2016-03-19)
(Strait Times, By Li Xueying) The battle is likely to be not so much in the diplomatic arena but in public opinion - convincing Taiwanese people who is at fault for the deteriorating situation.
Decoding Xi Jinping's Latest Remarks on Taiwan (2016-03-17)
(Brookings, By Richard C. Bush III) The key variable remains whether Xi and his subordinates trust Tsai Ing-wen’s basic intentions. That is, will they accept her recent formulations as a good-faith effort to avoid deterioration? The next milestone will be May 20, when Tsai Ing-wen gives her inaugural address and may provide a more detailed formulation of her approach to China.

US Think Tank Denies It Gave Inauguration Help
 (2016-03-17)
(China Post, By Stephanie Chao) DPP spokesman Ruan Jhao-syong stated that in Bonnie Glaser's email sent to the DPP's International Affairs Department on March 16, 11:36 a.m., she clarified that U.S. scholars have not made any suggestions during the meeting regarding Tsai's inauguration speech.
Beijing Unlikely to Ink Trade in Goods Agreement with Taiwan: Ex-Official (2016-03-14)
(China Post, By John Liu) China may have decided to ax the cross-strait trade in goods pact, since Beijing now views the issue not as a purely "economic" agreement, but a "political" and "national sovereignty" issue, according to former National Security Council chief Su Chi.

Trade-in-Goods Pact Talks with China at Bottleneck: MOEA
 (2016-03-15)
(China Post, By Enru Lin) The Economics Ministry said that talks with Beijing over a trade-in-goods pact have reached a bottleneck that is unlikely to be cleared up in the short term.

Pro-DPP Businesses Must Suffer in China: Academic (2016-03-16)
(Taipei Times) At a joint meeting of the Chinese National People’s Congress and Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference, Peking University’s institute of Taiwan studies head Li Yihu said China should punish “two-faced Taiwanese businesspeople” for activities or statements supporting the DPP.

If Unhappy with Tsai, China May End Talks (2016-03-18)
(China Post, By Joseph Yeh) If China is unsatisfied with President-elect Tsai Ing-wen's inauguration speech, it could stop bilateral negotiation, prevent Chinese tourists from visiting Taiwan and push to further isolate or pressure Taiwan on the global stage,Taiwan's top intelligence chief said.
Most Reject Idea of ‘one China’: Survey (2016-03-15)
(Taipei Times) Despite China’s repeated attempts to force Taiwan’s incoming administration to accept the idea that both sides of the Taiwan Strait belong to “one China,” a survey showed that most people reject the construction.
Hong Kong and Taiwan: The Future of Chinese Deomcracy (2016-03-16)
(The Diplomat, By Mercy A. Kuo and Angelica O. Tang) Hong Kong and Taiwan’s strategic value to the U.S. lies in their democratic or semi-democratic systems, which stand in juxtaposition to China’s hardening authoritarianism. Citizens in both territories have strengthened their identities as “Taiwanese” or “Hong Kongers,” eschewing their identity as “Chinese.” Mainland pressure backfired, as many people in these two territories see their business elites getting rich, while their own salaries stagnate, housing prices become unaffordable, and media freedoms deteriorate.
PLA and Military Balance
China Sees Taiwan As Key Security Threat: US Report (2016-03-17)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) China now believes that the most important threat to its security interests might come from Taiwan, a new US congressional report said. 
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey, First Half of March 2016 (2016-03-14)
(TISR) President Ma Ying-jeou's approval rating rose 2.7 percentage points over the first ten days of March, according to the latest Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).

Tsai Names Lin Chuan As Her Premier
 (2016-03-16)
(Taipei Times) Lin Chuan has served as minister of finance and has a doctorate in economics, but Tsai said the Cabinet is to be focused on reform and communication.

Ma Receives Warm Welcome during Stopover in Taxes
 (2016-03-16)
(CNA) President Ma Ying-jeou was warmly welcomed by US officials during a visit to a Taiwanese ethylene manufacturing plant in Point Comfort, Texas, during a stopover in Houston en route to Guatemala .

Ma Talks Power Transition with US Officials on Los Angeles Stopover (2016-03-20)
(China Post) President Ma spoke with Deputy Secretary of State Antony Blinken, and Gina McCarthy, administrator for the Environmental Protection Agency, according to the Central News Agency.

Obama Inks Taiwan INTERPOL Bid Bill (2016-03-20)
(CNA) U.S. President Barack Obama on Friday signed a bill which requires the U.S. secretary of state to develop a strategy to obtain observer status for Taiwan in the International Criminal Police Organization (INTERPOL) and other international groups.

President-Elect Hopes for Early Talk with Japan on Trans Pacific Partnership Participation Bid (2016-03-17)
(CNA) President-elect Tsai Ing-wen said that she hopes to communicate with Japan soon on issues related to Taiwan's bid to join the Trans Pacific Partnership free trade bloc and establish a free trade agreement with Japan.
Taiwan Agrees to Begin Direct Flights to Spain (2016-03-17)
(Taipei Times) Taiwan is to begin operating direct flights to Madrid and Barcelona as the nation has completed negotiations on an aviation pact with Spain, a source within the Ministry of Transportation and Communications said.
Taiwan-Nicaragua Air Services Deal Goes into Effect After Inked by Salazar (2016-03-19)
(CNA) The bilateral aviation services agreement is the result of a series of negotiations between the two nations over the past two years, according to a statement issued by the Republic of China Embassy in Nicaragua.
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
Labor Protests Multiply in China As Economy Slow, Worrying Leaders (2016-03-15)
(New York Times, By Javier C. Hernandez) The tide of protests appears to be cresting as Mr. Xi contemplates an enormous downsizing of China’s bloated state industries, which are producing much more steel, cement and other goods than the market needs.

Chinese Tycoon Criticizes Leader, and Wins Surprising Support (2016-03-19)
(New York Times, By Chris Buckley) The unexpected backlash sent a shiver through the political landscape here, exposing deepening unease about the adulatory promotion of Mr. Xi and his demands for unquestioning public obedience.
Does China Need More Friends in Asia? (2016-03-20)
(The National Interest, By Ali Wyne) Alliances are a key to Beijing's future success, says Yan Xuetong.
Contact: Dalton Lin, Executive Editor
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