Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Wednesday, 11 May 2016

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2016-05-11 | NO.20(19) epaper |
South China Sea Disputes and Other Regional Issues
China's New Passive Assertiveness in Asian Maritime Security (2016-04-29)
(Lowy Institute, By Ashley Townshend and Rory Medcalf) Beijing now advocates confidence-building measures that until recently it had refused to consider. These developments are helping to lower the risks of maritime incidents, miscalculations, and accidental conflict. However, they are also facilitating China’s increasingly ‘passive assertive’ challenges to Asia’s maritime status quo — notably, its creation and militarisation of disputed islands, its establishment of new zones of military authority, and its conduct of expansive patrols in the East and South China Seas.
The Shifting Contours of China's Maritime Strategy (2016-05-06)
(The Interpreter, By Abhijit Singh) Beijing realises that while it operates from a position of strength in the region, it must not harm its interests by displaying needless aggression. All it must do is ensure a quiet and efficient assertiveness to make sure it protects its strategic interests without indulging in an act that could provide the spark for its own tactical containment.
South China Sea: How We Got to This Stage (2016-05-09)
(The National Interest, By Fu Ying and Wu Shicun) It must be admitted that despite a continuing tug-of-war in the South China Sea, the general situation was under control before 2009. Soon thereafter, things became more complicated, mostly due to an official deadline set by the UN Commission on the Limits of the Continental Shelf, according to which relevant states should submit claims over a continental shelf extending the 200 nautical miles from its territorial sea by May 15, 2009. An even greater factor is the introduction of the American Asia-Pacific rebalancing strategy.

A U.S. Admiral's Bluntness Rattles China, and Washington
 (2016-05-07)
(New York Times, By Jane Perlez) For the Chinese, Admiral Harris, 59, is not only a tough talker. He was born in Japan, the son of a Japanese mother and an American father who was a chief petty officer in the American Navy. The Chinese have zeroed in on his ethnicity as a mode of attack.

No Plans to Deploy Missiles on Taiping: MND
 (2016-05-03)
(CNA) The Ministry of National Defense said that it has adhered to the country's policy and has no plans to deploy air-defense missile systems on Taiwan-controlled Taiping Island, the largest of the disputed Spratly Islands in the South China Sea.

2 US F-18s Approach ROC C-130 Returning from Visit to Taiping (2016-05-06)
(CNA) A C-130 transport plane carrying a group of 20 former senior government officials from Taiwan proper to Taiping Island was apparently approached by two U.S. jet fighters on its return trip, a local newspaper reported.
East China Sea Disputes and Japan Policy
ROC Patrol Ships to Go Within 200km of Atoll (2016-05-04)
(China Post, By Yuan-Ming Chiao) The head of Taiwan's coast guard said that its vessels would enter waters within 200 kilometers of the Okinotori atoll, the area where a Japanese official ship seized a Taiwanese boat and its captain a week before.

Japan Coast Guard Blocks Taiwanese Research Ship (2016-05-06)
(Taipei Times, By Chen Wei-han) A Taiwanese research vessel operating in waters near Okinawa was blocked by the Japan Coast Guard on Wednesday, the latest maritime dispute between the two nations following the seizure of a Taiwanese fishing by boat Japanese authorities last week.
Chances of Standoff Near Atoll Rise (2016-05-06)
(China Post, By Yuan-Ming Chiao) Taiwan and Japan are headed toward a possible maritime showdown as ships from both countries are likely to overlap in the waters surrounding Okinotori atoll Friday, the area where a Taiwanese vessel was seized by Japanese authorities late last month.
Taiwan Won't Back Down on Fishing Rights: Ma (2016-05-07)
(China Post, By Yuan-Ming Chiao) The Democratic Progressive Party denied local media reports that "a tacit understanding" had been reached with Japan on fishing in disputed waters under the presidency of Chen Shui-bian.
Taiwan-Japan Fishing Dispute Heats Up (2016-05-03)
(The Diplomat, By Shannon Tiezzi) Taiwan and Japan are in the midst of a diplomatic spat over the Okinotori Islands – or perhaps more properly the Okinotori atoll. In fact, the question of whether or not Okinotori is an island or simply a rock is central to the current tensions.
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
Can the United States and China De-conflict in Cyberspace? (2016-04-27)
(War on the Rocks, By Adam Segal and Tang Lan) In spite of significant differences in views, Beijing and Washington appear committed to not letting cyber issues derail the U.S.-China relationship or interfere with cooperation on other high-profile issues. U.S.-China Relations in Strategic Domains (NBR)

Spooked by Beijing, India Embraces Closer U.S. Ties
 (2016-05-02)
(Foreign Policy, By Keith Johnson and Dan de Luce) With a still-unresolved border dispute simmering between the two countries, and with recent Chinese moves in the South China Sea providing an alarming glimpse of what a rejuvenated Beijing is really after, India seems closer than it has in years to embracing closer ties with the United States by jettisoning decades of non-aligned foreign policy.

Rebalance to Asia Led to Drop in Security Assistance for Southeast Asia (2016-05-08)
(Council on Foreign Relations) An analysis of U.S. security assistance to Southeast Asian nations shows that, in nominal dollars, overall security aid to Southeast Asia fell by 19 percent since 2010, the year before the rebalance was launched. Accounting for inflation, the overall decline in U.S. security assistance to the region would have been even steeper.
Key Findings on How Americans View the U.S. Role in the World (2016-05-05)
(Pew, By Bruce Drake and Carroll Doherty) A new Pew Research Center survey finds that the American public is uncertain and divided over America’s place in the world, ranging from differences on the greatest threats to the U.S. to the measures the country should take to deal with them. Americans also have mixed views about how assertive a role the U.S. should play internationally.
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
DPP Accepts 1992 Meet, Not Consensus (2016-05-05)
(China Post, By Stephanie Chao) Tsai vows to abide by the current R.O.C. constitutional system to further cross-strait relations, DPP heavyweight Frank Hsieh said in the interview. "I think she has already made herself extremely clear. Based on this logic, it doesn't seem to violate the spirit of the 1992 meeting either."

ROC to Attend WHA Meeting As an Observer (2016-05-07)
(China Post) MOFA confirmed on Friday evening that the World Health Organization has sent a long-anticipated official invitation to Taiwan to attend the year's annual session of the World Health Assembly as an observer under the title of "Chinese Taipei."
WHA Invitation Cites ‘One China’ (2016-05-08)
(CNA) China’s Taiwan Affairs Office said that Taiwan is able to attend the WHA under the political basis of the so-called ‘1992 consensus.’
WHA Invitation 'Carries Warning to Tsai' (2016-05-08)
(China Post) Beijing has sent a warning to Taipei by having a United Nations' resolution concerning the "one China" principle included in an invitation to Taiwan to attend the World Health Assembly (WHA) annual meet, a senior diplomat was cited by the Central News Agency as saying.
U.S. Hopes Tsai Will Articulate Vision for Cross-Strait Ties: Official (2016-05-04)
(CNA) In an exclusive interview with CNA at the State Department, Susan A. Thornton, U.S. principal deputy assistant secretary of state in the Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, said in response to a question about the United States' expectations of the inaugural speech that while she would not presume to tell Tsai what to say, there were certain hopes.
Cross-Strait Tension Could Cost Taiwan's Dignity: Ex-NSC Official (2016-05-01)
(CNA) If cross-strait relations are not on good terms, Taiwan will have to rely on the United States and Japan more, even if both countries do not necessarily attach importance to Taiwan, Su Chi observed.
Here's Why Tsai Must Endorse 1992 Consensus (2016-05-04)
(China Daily, By Dennis V. Hickey) The election campaign is now over and Tsai will assume the island's leadership on May 20. She could use the opportunity to explicitly endorse the 1992 Consensus. And she has five reasons to do so.
Majority of Taiwanese Want Cross-Strait Consultations and Replacement for "1992 Consensus" (2016-04-28)
(TISR) More than two-thirds (68.2 percent) of Taiwanese think that Taiwan's new government and China's Communist Party leadership should negotiate and consult with one another regarding their respective positions on the future of cross-Strait relations, and find a replacement for the "1992 Consensus," according to the latest Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).
60 Percent of Taiwanese Say Cross-Strait Relations Are State-to-State Relations, TISR Survey (2016-04-28)
(TISR) According to the latest Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese), 60 percent of Taiwanese consider Taiwan's relations with mainland China to be state-to-state relations.
Military Balance and Arms Sales
Fighter Deployment to Penghu Continues (2016-05-02)
(China Post) The Air Force continues its annual deployment of its "Sky Colt" wing to Penghu's Magong Airport as part of the nation's first line of defense, according to the Central News Agency. 
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey, Second Half of April 2016 (2016-04-28)
(TISR) President Ma Ying-jeou's approval rating dropped 1.5 percentage points over the latter half of April, according to the latestTaiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).

Legislative Committee Demands US Pork Ban
 (2016-05-03)
(Taipei Times, By Lee I-chia) The legislature’s Social Welfare and Environmental Hygiene Committee passed a motion demanding that the incoming Cabinet prohibit imports of US pork with ractopamine.

Pork 'Just One of Many Issues' in ROC-US Trade Talks: US Official (2016-05-06)
(CNA) Taiwan should not lose sight of the big picture in its trade relations with the United States, and the importance of American pork is only one of the many trade matters being discussed between the two sides, a U.S. State Department official has said.
AIT Announces US Attendees to Inauguration (2016-05-08)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Some Taiwanese Americans were disappointed with the AIT’s list, saying the US should have sent higher-ranking officials to boost relations.

Foreign Minister Claims Economic Relations with China Not Replaceable (2016-05-02)
(China Post) As President-elect Tsai Ing-wen ponders a "new southward" foreign policy to establish closer ties with Southeast Asian nations, Foreign Minster David Lin noted that Taiwan's trade relations with China cannot be replaced.
Tsai Urged to Improve Ties with Japan, ASEAN (2016-05-03)
(Taipei Times, Chen Yu-hsuan and Jonathan Chin) President-elect Tsai Ing-wen’s administration should improve relations with Japan, India and ASEAN to boost Taiwan’s diplomatic standing and economic growth, academics said.
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
Q. and A.: Arthur R. Kroeber on ‘China’s Economy’ (2016-05-06)
(Sinosphere, By Ian Johnson) Xi belongs to the group of stability-oriented people. In many other areas as well, the desire to control things has won out over the desire to reform and liberalize.

China Puts a Tycoon, Ren Zhiqiang, on Probation for Criticizing Policies
 (2016-05-03)
(New York Times, By Edward Wong) Some analysts said the attack by censors and the Internet agency on Mr. Ren might have been a swipe by Liu Yunshan and his allies at Wang Qishan.
The Asian Development Bank and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank: Conditional Collaboration? (2016-05-03)
(Council of American Ambassadors, By Robert M. Orr) Will collaboration between the ADB and AIIB be driven by governance conditionality? In the beginning, at least, my sense is yes, as both institutions develop a better sense of how the AIIB’s governance model will uphold adequate safeguards that are vital to the ADB and, for that matter, the World Bank.

China's Most Dangerous Enemy Is Global Public Opinon (2016-05-03)
(The National Interest, By Yukon Huang) The majority of Americans see China’s economic rise as a threat to their country’s global stature. Europeans are less preoccupied with power politics, but share America’s worries that Beijing may try to propagate its own style of development and values. There is generally less apprehension in the rest of the world, but views vary significantly, influenced by proximity and colored by history.
Contact: Dalton Lin, Executive Editor
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