Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

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Leaving the West Behind Germany Looks East By Hans Kundnani The Ukraine crisis has reopened old questions about Germany’s relationship to the rest of the West, as Germany drifts away from the United States and gravitates toward Russia and China.

Guzzling in the Gulf The Monarchies Face a Threat From Within By Jim Krane The Gulf monarchies have developed a growing taste for their chief export, one that could undermine both of their long-held roles: as global suppliers and as stable polities in an otherwise fractious Middle East.

Revenge of the Ruble What the Crisis Means for Putin By Daniel Cloud The ruble has already lost almost half its value against the dollar this year, and there is little doubt that Putin will end up badly wounded. The question is whether he will drag his country down with him, turning Russia into a full-fledged pariah state.

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Saving OPEC How Oil Producers Can Counteract the Global Decline in Demand By Thijs Van de Graaf and Aviel Verbruggen If oil demand peaks, the members of OPEC, whose economies hinge on export revenues from crude oil, are in trouble. But OPEC countries can pursue at least four different strategies to counteract the decline in demand—although none of them will be easy, and none guarantees...

Generation Putin What to Expect From Russia’s Future Leaders By Sarah E. Mendelson The Russian millennials who will inherit Vladimir Putin’s political system won’t upend it. Drawing on hours of conversations with Russia’s future leaders, Ellen Mickewicz explains why they will uphold the status quo.

Disarming the Lords of War A New International Treaty to Regulate the Arms Trade By Denise Garcia The United Nations’ Arms Trade Treaty, which comes into force on Christmas Eve this year, will deal a major blow to illegal arms dealers that supply the weapons for a large portion of the world’s conflicts.

Pakistan's Dark Days Terrorism and the Blasphemy Laws By Amjad Mahmood Khan Pakistan's terrorism problem has its roots in a group of draconian laws—known as the blasphemy laws—that a military dictator, Zia ul-Haq, enacted decades ago.

Darkness Invisible The Hidden Global Costs of Mental Illness By Thomas R. Insel, Pamela Y. Collins, and Steven E. Hyman Far from being a "First World problem," mental illness is a global scourge that affects people of all incomes and backgrounds. By 2030, mental disorders will cost the global economy around $6 trillion a year—more than heart disease.

Cuban Comrades The Truth About Washington and Havana's New Detente By Michael J. Bustamante The agreement reached between the Obama administration and the Cuban government is by any measure historic, necessary, and overdue. Yet as the diplomatic rubber hits the road and Cuba continues its precarious transition to a mixed economy, old disputes may take on new forms.

Democracy by Necessity Tunisians Go to the Polls By Marina Ottaway After three years of battles in the streets, in the National Constituent Assembly, and at the ballot box, Tunisia has officially completed its formal transition to democracy.