Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Friday 30 August 2013

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Articles posted on Friday, 30 August 2013
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Banks and Macroeconomic Models

by Steve Randy Waldman, Interfluidity.com
There has been a recrudescence of blogospheric argument on the nature of commercial banks, whether they are best considered 'financial intermediaries' not unlike mutual funds or insurance companies, or whether they are something different, in particular, whether their ability to issue liabilities that are near-perfect substitutes for base money renders them special in macroeconomically important ways. See e.g. Cullen Roche, Winterspeak, Ramanan, and Paul Krugman.



Investing.com Weekly Wrap-Up 30 August 2013

by Investing.com Staff, Investing.com
U.S. stocks fall on rekindling Syrian concerns; Dow down 0.21%
U.S. stocks fell on Friday after the U.S. government laid out a case to launch limited military strikes against Syria though no plans are etched in stone as of investing.com-logonow.

At the close of U.S. trading, the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished down 0.21%, the S&P 500 index fell 0.32%, while the Nasdaq Composite index fell 0.84%.



Volatility Marks Market Session As Investors Seek Shelter

Written by
Closing Market Commentary For 08-30-2013
The last 15 minutes was interesting as the markets started a downhill rush to today's previous low at 1 pm and then started to soar back up. The DOW made a 55 point recovery in less than 5 minutes only to fall back 13 point with heavy red volume.
By 4 pm most of the large caps slowed their decent modestly while the small caps took it on the chin leading the percentage off list.



What We Read Today 30 August 2013

Econintersect: Click Read more >> below graphic to see today's list.

The top of today's reading list reports on bond guru Jeffrey Gundlach's switch to bearish on bonds ........ and the last article is about FSB attempts to cut down on securities lending and short-term selling by shadow banks.



Investors Uncertain Over Geopolitical Mess, Markets Depressed

Written by
Midday Market Commentary For 08-30-2013
Markets at noontime have been sliding, more or less, downwards on relatively low volume. Much uncertainty prevails among investors and traders alike after the UK withdrew it support for the United States unilateral actions on Syria in protest against its use of military weapons on civilians. The prospect of the Fed withdrawing stimulus and the geopolitical tensions lead the market worries and indices are likely to be confined to recent trading ranges.
By noon we have a lackluster, low volume go-home early market that promises to be more of the same.



Public Shaming Gone Too Far?

Though we can generally agree that thieves should be taught a lesson, is public shaming and humiliation a reasonable form of punishment?



Markets Open Off, Cautiously Melting Down

Written by
Opening Market Commentary For 08-30-2013
Premarkets were quiet and remained even with yesterday's closing numbers until the opening. This mornings financials reported that US Consumption, Spending and Personal Income were all down, -1.2%, -0.1% and -0.1% respectively. The Chicago PMI came in at 53.0 as expected and the U of Michigan Confidence came in at 82.1, higher than expected. Mixed news, so how are the markets going to react to this crop of bad reports?
Large caps opened down -0.1% on low volume (and falling) while the small caps lead the way down at 0.45%. By 10 am the $VIX had reached 17.10, highest since July, and the market flavor of the morning is negative, potentially terrifying.



23 August 2013: ECRI's WLI Growth Again Declines Marginally

ECRI's WLI Growth Index declined, but remains positive. A positive number predicts positive growth to come within the next six months.



Final August 2013 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Up But Under Last Month's Level

by Doug Short, Advisor Perspectives/dshort.com
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final number for August came in at 82.1. Today's number is above theInvesting.com forecast of 80.5 and an improvement over the August preliminary 80.0, but it is still three points off the July final of 85.1.
Read more >>



August 2013 Chicago Purchasing Managers Barometer Again Improves Slightly

Econintersect: The Chicago Purchasing Managers Index improved slightly for the second month in a row after June's largest drop in almost five years.



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Personal Consumption Weak In July 2013

Written by Steven Hansen
Positive news on Real Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) and Real Disposable Personal Income (DPI) were mixed. The headline non-inflation adjusted value PCE and DPI improved. But there is little good news in this data for those looking for economic expansion (consumer did not consume).
Read more >>



August Market Update

Online Trading Academy Article of the Week
by Brandon Wendell, Online Trading Academy
There has been much debate by the talking heads about whether the current bull-run in equities is coming to an end. Rather than debating the Fed's potential 'tapering' or other events, I choose to focus on what really matters, the charts.



Sequester Fallout: Emigrating Scientists

Econintersect: While many political figures support making it easier for foreign scientists to immigrate to the U.S., the 2013 sequestration budget cuts are reducing research funding. As a result some scientists already in the U.S. are considering emigrating to find support for their work in other countries.
scientists-closing-up-shop-packing-to-move-380x200



Investing.com: Technical Analysis 29 August 2013

Investing.com Technical Analysis (as of Thu, 29 August 2013 05:00pm EDT)
by Investing.com Staff, Investing.com
Below, technical overviews and analysis for key stock indices, commodities and investing.com-logocurrency pairs, based on market activity at the close of the 29 August 2013 U.S. session. This information is a comprehensive summary derived from simple and exponential moving averages along with key technical indicators shown for specific time intervals.



Japan: Inflation Rises But Far From Target

breaking-news-captionEconintersect: The inflation readings have been released for Japan for July. The CPI (Consumer Price Index) recorded a gain of 0.7% over the level for August 2012. This was the highest reading since late 2008. However, energy and energy dependent factors provided all of the gain; the core CPI, excluding food and energy, was -0.1%. This indicates contraction but was one of the smallest contractions in quite some time.



Second Quarter Witnesses A Good Run for Economy

August 29, 2013 - BEA Revises 2nd Quarter 2013 GDP Growth Upward To 2.52% Annual Rate
by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute
In their second estimate of the US GDP for the second quarter of 2013, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the economy was growing at a 2.52% annualized rate, up from the 1.68% growth rate previously reported for the quarter. The upward revision resulted almost exclusively from the BEA's restatement of the foreign trade numbers, with improved new numbers for both exports and imports contributing equally to the upswing. Read more >>



Infographic of the Day: Phishing

Millions of phishing emails are sent out everyday disguising themselves as messages from trusted sources. However, these emails have malicious intent and clicking on their links or downloading their attachments can do major harm. Here are some tips to avoid getting phished.



Fed's Balance Sheet 28 August 2013: Another Record

Total Fed Balance Sheet
Fed's Balance Sheet is $3.601 trillion (down from the last week's record $3.590 trillion). The complete balance sheet data and graphical breakdown of the cumulative and weekly changes follows the "read more".
Read more >>




The United States Ranks 13th in Smartphone Penetration

by Felix Richter, Statista.com
Three in four people in the United Arab Emirates own a smartphone. The UAE tops the list of countries with the highest smartphone penetration ahead of South Korea and Saudi Arabia. The United States is ranked 13th with a penetration rate of 56 percent.