Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Wednesday, 30 December 2015

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2015-12-29 | NO.19(52) epaper |
East China Sea Disputes
S. Korea, China Hold First Talks on EEZs in 7 Years (2015-12-22)
(Yonhap) South Korea and China opened the first talks on their overlapping exclusive economic zones in seven years but skepticism is rampant over an early deal.

Japan: China Sent Armed Coast Guard Vessel Near Disputed Island
 (2015-12-24)
(The Diplomat, By Shannon Tiezzi) In September 2012 (when the regular Chinese patrols began), Japan’s central government nationalized three of the Senkaku Islands, which had previously been under private ownership. Beijing accused Japan of breaking a tacit agreement to shelve the territorial dispute and began sending Coast Guard vessels.

Japanese Cabinet Approves Record Defense Budget (2015-12-25)
(AP) The Japanese Cabinet approved a record-high military spending plan, endorsing plans to purchase pricey US surveillance drones and F-35 jets as Tokyo steps up cooperation with Washington amid China’s increasingly assertive activity in regional seas.
Japan Protests Intrusion of Armed Chinese Vessel (2015-12-27)
(Bloomberg) The Japanese government formally protested the entry of an armed Chinese government ship and two other vessels into waters that it claims as its own.
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
China Tells US to Stop Flexing Military Muscle in Asia (2015-12-22)
(Bloomberg) Wang Yi also requested that the US stop selling arms to Taiwan, which China regards as a province. The US last week said it would sell US$1.83 billion in arms to Taiwan, its first such sale in four years.
2015: The Year US-China Relations Went Public (2015-12-23)
(The Diplomat, By Graham Webster) A look back at the year’s headlines and ten months of weekly reflections on U.S.–China relations might suggest a rising rivalry. In reality, however, 2015 was the year longstanding tensions went public, in no small part due to changes in U.S. policy.

US Navy's Fleet of Littoral Combat Ships Will Be Cut to 40 Vessels
 (2015-12-22)
(The Diplomat, By Franz-Stefan Gady) U.S. Defense Secretary Ashton Carter wants to save money to purchase more fighter jets and missiles for the Navy. 
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Tsai Believes Beijing Will Respect Will of the Public (2015-12-24)
(CNA) Tsai Ing-wen, chairwoman of the opposition Democratic Progressive Party and its presidential candidate, said Wednesday that if elected, she will aim for sincere communications with mainland China, seeking common ground and putting aside differences.

How China Sees the Risky Path Ahead with Taiwan (2015-12-28)
(The National Interest, By Lyle J. Goldstein) After Tsai’s June trip to the United States, the lead article in the mainland journal 现代台湾研究 [Modern Taiwan Research], published by the Fujian Academy of Social Sciences, reacted with a short analysis that did not pull any punches.
PLA, Military Balance and Arms Sales
Arm Taiwan, America. But Don't Defend It (2015-12-21)
(The National Interest, By Doug Bandow) Enabling Taiwan to defend itself is the best way out of this conundrum. So long as the residents of Zhongnanhai value prosperity and stability, they have reason to avoid costly conflict. No arms sales would enable Taipei to defeat a determined PRC in war. The former’s objective, however, should be deterrence, not victory.
Obama's Arms Sale Leaves Taiwan Vulnerable (2015-12-24)
(The National Interest, By Dean Cheng) While the decision to sell arms to an American friend is welcome, it raises the question of what the administration actually intends to do. While these systems are helpful in sustaining Taiwan, they do not address two of the most fundamental imbalances in the cross-strait security situation: the air and undersea situations.
China's Tantrum on Taiwan Arms Deal (2015-12-24)
(New York Times) China’s attention should be focused on building productive ties with Taiwan that allow both societies to live in peace and prosper.
Punting on Taiwan's Security (2015-12-24)
(Wall Street Journal) DPP's Tsai Ing-wen has promised to spend 3% of GDP on defense—it’s now closer to 2%—only if economic growth picks up. That won’t do. Taipei can’t expect Washington to be more concerned for Taiwan’s security than the Taiwanese are.

The Latest Indication of the PLA's Network Warfare Strategy
 (2015-12-21)
(China Brief 15(24), Jamestown Foundation, By Elsa Kania) The 2015 text of the Science of Military Strategy (战略学) includes not only sections on ‘military struggle in cyberspace’ (网络空间军事斗争) and network-electromagnetic space operations (网络电磁空间作战) but also a full chapter on measures to establish and develop the PLA’s cyberspace forces. 
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
TPP Can Make Taiwan More Competitive: Study (2015-12-25)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) An independent study on the Trans Pacific Partnership trade agreement said that membership in the bloc would make Taiwan more competitive and would reduce the nation’s economic dependence on China. 
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
China's Renminbi Declines After Being Named a Global Currency, Posing Challenges (2015-12-19)
(New York Times, By Keith Bradsher) Soon after being anointed as one of the world’s elite currencies, the renminbi started slowly and steadily falling as Chinese companies and individuals moved huge sums of money out of the country’s weakening economy.

China Unveils Economic Blueprint for 2016 (2015-12-22)
(Wall Street Journal, By Lingling Wei) The plan, laid out at a closed-door conclave of senior party officials led by President Xi Jinping, comes as the country’s massive buildup of debt and legions of factories pumping out unwanted goods astride towers of empty apartments have become severe drags on economic output.
Contact: Dalton Lin, Executive Editor
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