Feb. 17-18, 2012 Briefs:
- An Israeli counter-terrorism official says Iran and its Lebanese proxy Hezbollah are plotting more attacks on Israelis overseas. Travelling Israelis advised to exercise caution. Israeli embassies and institutions remain on terror alert.
- Israeli PM blasts Iran as “most irresponsible country in the world” and says sanctions against Tehran are not working.
- Six Palestinian missiles exploded in Israel’s towns and villages Friday and Saturday. No casualties or damage.
Crisis in US-Israel relations over nuclear talks with IranDEBKAfile Special Report18 Feb. In the last 24 hours, the approach of international talks with Iran on its nuclear program has escalated high tensions between the Obama administration and the Israeli government and triggered the following developments:
US President Barack Obama decided to send his US National Security Adviser Tom Donilon on an urgent visit to Israel for three days.
In private conversations, Netanyahu has said he feels cheated. By its underhand tactics for getting nuclear negotiations underway the Obama administration leaves Israel with no recourse other than to grapple with the Iranian menace on its own and be less sensitive to Washington’s wishes.
A bipartisan group of concerned US senators warned President Obama Friday that they would strongly oppose any proposal in talks with Iran that would allow it to continue uranium enrichment activities.
A letter signed by a dozen senators from both parties expressed concern that Iran would try to use a resumption of talks with world powers on its nuclear program to buy time and dilute international pressure on it.
Wednesday, Netanyahu blasted Iran – and indirectly Washington– when he said in Cyprus that sanctions “haven’t worked” and that a regime which attacks diplomats to have nuclear weapons “is something of enormous concern for the United States and for Israel.”
Coming nuclear talks with Iran disable sanctions, spark anti-Israel terrorDEBKAfile Special ReportUS President Barack Obama is convinced that the resumed international nuclear negotiations he has worked hard to set up will not only avert war but lay to rest once and for all the problem of Iran’s nuclear bomb program. But the imminence of Iranian talks with world powers has already had the negative effects of sparking a wave of Iranian terror against Israeli overseas targets and seriously devalued sanctions,
DEBKAfile reports, while Tehran has no intention of yielding on its drive for nuclear arms.
Our Washington sources describe the White House mood as one of high optimism. They think they have the silver bullet for success: The US will match Iran’s concession on its nuclear weapon program with the staged whittling down of sanctions. They will drop to zero when a successful accord is reached.
However, a timer was built into the toughest sanctions imposed in the last few weeks: They go into force in July. If the talks are going well by then, they will never be needed and stay on paper – or so it is hoped.
But this delaying mechanism has already made the sanctions self-defeating and they are breaking up even before the talks begin.
Feb. 19, 2012 Briefs:
- Iran cuts off oil exports to the UK and France, retaliation for EU oil embargo.
- Israel must prepare proactive measures for defending its population against advanced enemy weaponry, said Netanyahu at Sunday’s cabinet meeting. Passive defense is not enough. Much more to be done to upgrade deterrent and punitive resources.
- Egypt recalls its ambassador from Syria, Damascus reciprocates.
- IAEA diplomats say Iran is ready to move thousands of advanced centrifuges into the Fordo underground enrichment facility.
- Leading Syrian businessman Faisal al-Qudsi says 40 pc of Syrian economy crippled and government disintegrating. He gave military action no more than six months but said Assad’s regime would fight to the end.
Iran names Istanbul as venue for nuclear talksDEBKAfile Special Report
19 Feb. Iran continues to behave as though it is calling the shots. The first formal announcement of the resumption of Iran-world powers nuclear talks (confirming DEBKAfile’s exclusive) came from its Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Selahi who Sunday, Feb. 19, named the venue as Istanbul, Turkey. Saturday, two Iranian warships got away with delivering arms for Bashar Assad’s crackdown on protest without US or Israeli interference, which would have been justified under UN sanctions. They docked at Tartus port Saturday alongside a Russian naval flotilla, symbolizing their joint effort to preserve Assad.
The US and Israel therefore let Iran get away with setting a precedent for bringing arms to the Assad regime and the Lebanese Hizballah group without being challenged, its comradeship with Russia for buttressing the Assad regime and their readiness to ward off Western-Arab military intervention by force.
Feb. 20, 2012 Briefs:
- Syria sends tanks and reinforcements to Homs in apparent final push to retake rebel-held districts holding out in third week.
- Three US senators in Cairo to discuss case of 19 Americans to be tried Sunday as pro-democracy NGO activists.
They are Senators John McCain, Lindsey Graham and Joe Lieberman.
- Israeli schools hold earthquake exercise Monday.
- Israeli police stage mission command drill to prepare for scenarios of Palestinian mass riots and attempts to storm into Israel across West Bank, Gaza and Egyptian borders.
It is held at the IDF’s Tselim military exercise site.
Obama will try to dissuade Netanyahu from Iran military option after his advisers failedDEBKAfile Exclusive Report
20 Feb. After a high-ranking US delegation headed by White House National Security Adviser Tom Donilon failed in three days of tough talks (Feb.18-20) to persuade Israeli leaders to back off plans for a military strike against Iran’s nuclear sites, the White House invited Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu for talks with President Barak Obama on March 5. He will try and break the stalemate which ended his advisers’ talks with Netanyahu, Defense Minister Ehud Barak and Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz.
Donilon faced an acrimonious Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu in two hours of stormy conversation in Jerusalem Sunday, Feb. 19.
According to DEBKAfile’s sources, Netanyahu accused the Obama administration of drawing Iran into resuming nuclear negotiations with world powers by assuring Tehran it would be allowed to continue enriching uranium in any quantity, provided it promised not to build an Iranian nuclear weapon. The prime minister charged that this permit contravened US administration guarantees to Israel on the nuclear issue and, moreover left Tehran free to upgrade its current 20 percent enrichment level to 90 percent weapons grade. This Israel cannot tolerate, said Netanyahu, and so its military option must be held on the ready.