Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Wednesday 27 April 2016

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2016-04-27 | NO.20(17) epaper |
South China Sea Disputes
China Lands First Military Plane on Disputed Island (2016-04-19)
(AFP) Beijing landed a military plane on a disputed South China Sea reef it has built up into an artificial island, officials said yesterday, in the first confirmation of such a flight.
Forecasting the Aftermath of a Ruling on China's Nine-Dash Line (2016-04-20)
 (Foreign Policy, By Jerome A. Cohen) If all affected nations in the East China Sea and the South China Sea “bombard the headquarters” in Beijing by taking their international law disputes with China to international legal institutions — rather than relying exclusively on endless, fruitless, and unequal bilateral negotiations or American military gestures — there is hope for a turnabout.

Singapore Wants New Rules to Defuse Asia's Tensions
 (2016-04-21)
(The Diplomat, By Prashanth Parameswaran) Asia needs to craft regional rules and norms to defuse lingering tensions and safeguard the stability which has undergirded its prosperity, Singapore’s defense minister stressed at a security conference in Malaysia .

East China Sea Disputes and Japan Policy
Japan's Fighter Jets Intercepted Chinese Aircraft 571 Times in 2015 (2016-04-26)
(The Diplomat, By Franz-Stefan Gady) The Japan Air-Self Defense Force had to dispatch its fighter jets 571 times during fiscal year 2015 to intercept Chinese military aircraft approaching or intruding Japanese airspace, Japan’s Defense Ministry revealed. 
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
Do the Obama Administration and PACOM Disagree on the South China Sea? (2016-04-20)
(The Diplomat, By Robert Farley) Whether or not the U.S. Navy conducts a patrol or an “innocent passage,” and whether President Obama solicits the advice of PACOM on operational minutiae, is quite frankly trivial in comparison to this larger project. The core of U.S. strategy in the South China Sea, and more broadly in East Asia, is to ensure that China continues to have few allies, and that those few allies are of poor quality. Disputes over the ownership of man-made rocks are secondary to this broader goal, a fact which Beijing seems not to understand.
The One-Man Master Plan to Avoid War with China (2016-04-22)
(The National Interest, By John Richard Cookson) Before Xi has consolidated power in next year’s Nineteenth Party Congress, the Chinese leader will be more vulnerable to the influence and pressures of the military and the outside world if foreign policy crises occur.

US State Dep't Official Mentions Taiwan As Part of Obama's Asia Policy
 (2016-04-24)
(CNA) Daniel R. Russel, assistant secretary with the State Department's Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, stresses that "China policy is a subset of our Asia policy, and not the other way around." 
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Prospects for Cross-Strait Relations As Tsai Ing-wen Assumes the Presidency in Taiwan (2016-04-22)
(CSIS, By Bonnie S. Glaser) Although Tsai has taken steps to provide reassurances to Beijing, she has not yet satisfied Chinese demands. This report outlines three possible scenarios for relations between Taiwan and the Mainland in the near term and provides policy recommendations for the United States.

Pac100 Interview with Robert Sutter
 (2016-04-21)
(TSR, Kristian McGuire) Pac100’s Kristian McGuire** speaks with Robert Sutter, Professor of Practice of International Affairs at the Elliott School of George Washington University, about Taiwan and China’s current impasse over the “1992 Consensus”, the future of U.S.-Taiwan relations and more in this interview.

WHA Invitation Not Received: Ministry
 (2016-04-20)
(CNA) Taiwan has yet to receive an invitation to attend this year’s session of the World Health Assembly, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said.
Taiwan Rejected from OECD (2016-04-20)
(Taipei Times, By Stacy Hsu and Alison Hsiao) The Ministry of Foreign Affairs yesterday said that Taiwan has lodged a stern protest with China, the Belgian government and the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development after a Taiwanese delegation was requested to leave a conference in Belgium due to Chinese pressure.

Delegation Arrives in Beijing to Discuss Fraud Case
 (2016-04-21)
(Taipei Times, By Jason Pan) A government delegation headed by Ministry of Justice officials arrived in Beijing and was greeted by Chinese officials before going to talks dealing with 45 Taiwanese deported from Kenya to China over allegations of telecommunications fraud.
Taipei, Beijing to Jointly Probe Cross-Border Fraud Rings (2016-04-22)
(CNA) Officials of Taiwan and China have agreed to jointly investigate telecom fraud rings run by Taiwanese in Kenya and Malaysia that have allegedly targeted Chinese citizens, the head of a Taiwanese official delegation said.
Let the People Be the Judge, Says Outgoing Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou (2016-04-23)
(Strait Times, By Li Xueying) Pressed on the question on being more liked on the mainland, Ma makes the point that any cross-strait policy "needs to be accepted by the mainland side as well".
Q&A of the Strait Times' Interview with Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou (2016-04-21)
(Strait Times) With a month to go before Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou leaves office, he sits down with Senior Regional Correspondent Li Xueying for an exclusive interview at the presidential palace in Taipei.
A New Perspective on Taiwan-China Relations (2016-04-20)
(The Diplomat, By Gerrit van der Wees) What would be a viable way forward for Taiwan? What do the people of Taiwan want for their future? In this context it must be emphasized that the rejection of Ma’s policies was not per se an anti-China movement: it was much more of a pro-Taiwan movement dedicated to preserving the hard-won freedom and democracy in Taiwan.
PLA and Military Balance
China Flight Tests Multiple Warhead Missile Capable of Hitting All of US (2016-04-20)
(The Diplomat, By Franz-Stefan Gady) The latest test appears to confirm that the missile is nearing operational status and could be deployed within the next three years. U.S. intelligence agencies estimate that the DF-41 can carry up to ten 150-300 kiloton yield thermonuclear warheads per missile and that it is capable of targeting the entire continental United States.

Military Research Unit Begins Fighter Engine Development Project
 (2016-04-19)
(China Post, By Joseph Yeh) The military's top research unit on Monday disclosed that a project to produce Taiwan-made fighter jet engines is underway amid the incoming Democratic Progressive Party's push to prioritize Taiwan's defense industry.
Experts Advise on Defense As Threat from China Rises (2016-04-19)
(Taipei Times) Academics and lawmakers underlined the need for the nation to build up its submarine, cyberspace and fighter jet capabilities to defend itself.

Taiwanese Navy Plans to Enhance Fleet Air Defense (2016-04-21)
(China Brief 16(7), Jamestown Foundation, By Yen-fan Liao and Michal Thim) While the debate on the future role of the ROCN in defense of Taiwan should not be reduced to a “big ship versus small ship” debate, the logic ditching large surface platforms in exchange for more survivable smaller ships is hard to deny. Challenges facing ROCN would not end with a desirable turn to sea denial small-ship based fleet with a doctrine more befitting of Taiwan’s conditions. Even a sea denial fleet would face problems with over-the-horizon targeting and survivability under the conditions of PLA Air Force’s near air-supremacy.
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Tsai to Face 'Largest-ever Challenges' As President (2016-04-24)
(China Post) Hu Sheng-cheng, a member of the Academia Sinica, said after taking power on May 20, Tsai's government should carefully tackle five major domestic challenges, namely low salaries, uneven distribution of incomes, youth unemployment, annuity reform and improving the reliability of local utilities.

US Resolution Reaffirms TRA, ‘Six Assurances’
 (2016-04-22)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) The “six assurances” had been a verbal pledge and the resolution solidified the commitment in legislation for the first time, US Representative Brad Sherman said.

United States-Taiwan Business Council Leaders to Visit the ROC
 (2016-04-19)
(CNA) High on the delegation's agenda will be Taiwan's participation in the Round-2 talks for joining Trans-Pacific Partnership.

Can't Say No to US Pork: COA Chief-Designated (2016-04-23)
(China Post, By Stephanie Chao) Council of Agriculture Minister-designate Tsao Chi-hung faced criticism from the current government and local farmers over his comments on the inevitability of opening up Taiwan to ractopamine-laced U.S. pork.

Tsai and Her Plans for a Pivot to the South (2016-04-24)
(Taipei Times, By Hugh Chen) Taiwan’s priority should be to improve its bilateral relationships with ASEAN and use these as an opportunity for a breakthrough when pushing for integration into the region. ASEAN affairs are highly complex and China’s “coordinating country” approach deserves consideration.
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
China's President, Xi Jinping, Gains a New Title: Commander in Chief (2016-04-22)
(Sinosphere, By Austin Ramzy) Mr. Xi, who is general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, is also chairman of the Central Military Commission. On Wednesday, a new title was unveiled in the state and party news media: commander in chief of the joint battle command center.

Is China's Authoritarianism Decaying into Personalized Rule? (2016-04-24)
(East Asia Forum, By Carl Minzner) Many of China’s centralising trends are not really about building up institutions. Rather, they are about seizing control of bureaucratic apparatuses for the exercise of personalised rule. Concentrating power in the hands of a single individual should not be confused with the institutionalisation of authoritarian rule.

China's Legalist Revival (2016-04-20)
(The National Interest, By David K. Schneider) Recent trends in Chinese politics argue for a new look at an ancient political philosophy that has never been far from the center of Chinese political thought and practice—Legalism.

Revealed: The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank's First Projects (2016-04-20)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) Assuaging concerns that these projects reflect Chinese geopolitical priorities in line with the One Belt, One Road initiative to expand infrastructure and connectivity to China’s west, these initial projects feature AIIB financing complementing and coordinating with other development banks.
How China Sees World Order (2016-04-20)
(The National Interest, By Richard Fontaine and Mira Rapp-Hooper) At a moment when China is transgressing some of those rules and establishing alternative institutions, it is worth looking closely at the assumptions that have undergirded U.S. policy.
China Power Project (2016-04-21)
(China Power, CSIS) ChinaPower provides an in-depth understanding of the evolving nature of Chinese power relative to other countries. The project examines five interrelated categories of Chinese power: military, economic, technological, social, and international image. Through objective analysis and data visualization, ChinaPower unpacks the complexity of China’s rise.
The Legacy of China's One-Child Policy  (2016-04-20)
(The Diplomat, By Young China Watcher) I’m astonished by the number of people who don’t know much about the policy and have come to erroneous conclusions. One of the big overarching myths is that the one-child policy helped China economically and helped the world ecologically and environmentally.
Timing of Editor's Firing Has Hong Kong Worried about Press Freedom (2016-04-21)
(New York Times, By Michael Forsythe and Alan Wong) A top editor at one of Hong Kong’s most prestigious newspapers was fired after the publication of a front page devoted to a single story: the offshore holdings uncovered by the Panama Papers of some of the city’s tycoons, celebrities and politicians.
Contact: Dalton Lin, Executive Editor
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