Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Tuesday, 26 April 2016

The European Union Times


Posted: 26 Apr 2016 08:02 AM PDT

Republican front-runner Donald Trump and Democratic party favorite Hillary Clinton have taken an over 50 percent national lead, according to the latest poll released on Monday ahead of three primaries.
According to an NBC News/SurveyMonkey weekly poll, 50 percent of Republican and Republican leaning voters say they support the New York real estate tycoon for the GOP nomination, while 52 percent of Democratic and Democratic leaning voters say they would choose the former US secretary of state to be their party’s nominee.
When Republicans were asked how likely it would be that they would vote for the candidate they support 57 percent said that they were “absolutely certain,” while 65 percent gave the same response on the Democratic side.
Over the course of this year’s primaries, many analysts have predicted that US real estate tycoon Trump will likely win the 1,237 delegates needed to become the Republican Party’s nominee. While Clinton, after major victories in key US states such as New York, is on path to becoming the party’s nominee.
The results of the latest poll come as voters from the US states of Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and Connecticut head to the polls. The US presidential election is scheduled for November 8, 2016.
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Posted: 26 Apr 2016 07:52 AM PDT

Less than 24 hours after the Cruz/Kasich alliance was announced, it already appears to be on the verge of failure.
Upon hearing of the deal between Cruz and Kasich, GOP voters and strategists alike were left scratching their heads, wondering how this was all supposed to work. To recap, the two men had their campaigns release statements late last night telling voters of a plan they’d put together that would prevent Donald Trump from winning the necessary delegates required to have an outright victory prior to the convention. Cruz was to focus on Indiana, while Kasich was responsible for Oregon and New Mexico.
Immediately GOP strategists were left wondering how this plan was going to sit with voters, dreading that this would be the latest anti-Trump plan to violently backfire. “I think the Kasich people are now left choosing between two people who they see as unappealing. I have talked to a lot of friends today who are stunned and puzzled and kind of adrift: ‘what do we do now?’” said Mike Murphy, a GOP operative in the state of Indiana.
The Hill also quoted an anonymous Republican Strategist in Indiana who said people were torn between stopping Trump, and asking themselves what has happened to their party that made this circumstance even possible. “I think it’s a bit of an open question as to whether this deal will take. I’ve got people who say, ‘Yes, I will do anything to stop Trump.’ And others who say, ‘What in the world is the party coming to?’ They view Cruz as unsatisfactory as a nominee but Trump as unfathomable.”
And then there was outright frustration at the absurdity of it all. “This election is garbage. I voted early and then they cut a deal a week before election day.” Dave Ober, a Republican state representative in Indiana tweeted.
Not only were strategists left dumbfounded, but apparently so was Kasich. Before the ink was even dry, as it were, Kasich suggested during a campaign stop in Philadelphia that his voters should still vote for him in Indiana, which was one of the places the so-called plan was calling for him to fall back on so Cruz had a chance to win. At a campaign stop in Philadelphia, Kasich said “I’ve never told them not to vote for me. They ought to vote for me.” which no matter how one looks at it is thoroughly confusing considering this is precisely what the so-called alliance urged against.
Not one to let anything slip by without comment, Trump had this to say about the half thought out and frankly laughable attempt at blocking his nomination:
“So they colluded, and, actually, I was happy because it shows how weak they are; it shows how pathetic they are,” the front-running candidate said at a rally in Rhode Island on Monday.
“If you collude in business, or if you collude in the stock market, they put you in jail. But in politics, because it’s a rigged system, because it’s a corrupt enterprise, in politics you’re allowed to collude,” he added.
As the circus continues into the final states, we’re not sure how everything will ultimately play out. However, we are confident that from now until July, there will be more fodder for Trump to tweet about, and certainly more once unheard of tactics deployed by a desperate GOP establishment which will do anything, even if it results in a smoking crater just hours later, to stop Donald Trump while achieving precisely the opposite of what was intended, and boosting support for Trump to even greater highs.
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Posted: 26 Apr 2016 07:28 AM PDT

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said in a speech Monday the country’s constitution explicitly forbids Islamization.
This puts Hungary on more secure footing than other countries in the European Union as far as migration and cultural shifts are concerned — the constitution’s primary aim is to secure the existence of Hungarian norms and language. This means that any attempts to fundamentally transform the country in an Islamic direction are blatantly unconstitutional, The Associated Press reports.
This entails that the government step in and prevent any activity that pushes Hungary closer to an Islamic society, according to Orban. Part of this proactive effort includes opposing mass migration.
“To be clear and unequivocal, I can say that Islamization is constitutionally banned in Hungary,” Orban said in parliament at an event celebrating the fifth anniversary of Hungary’s new constitution, now known as the Basic Law.
Orban was quoting from the National Avowal, the Basic Law’s preamble, which details the country’s commitment “to promoting and safeguarding our heritage, our unique language, Hungarian culture” and the protection of “the living conditions of future generations.”
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Posted: 26 Apr 2016 06:58 AM PDT


Rudy Giuliani joined Sean Hannity tonight to discuss the Republican primary race.
Rudy says it’s over and Trump is the nominee.
Rudy Giuliani: My thought is that Trump is the nominee. I supported him before. I support him now. I fully endorse him 100% and I urge other Republicans to get behind him. We may have preferred somebody else but he is going to be the candidate. And now we have to do the best we can to make sure we defeat Hillary Clinton.
The fact that Cruz and Kasich had to get together in this backroom deal, is devastating. The American people on both the Republican side and Democratic side are telling us something. They’re telling us they don’t like these backroom deals anymore. They don’t like these Washington shenanigans. They don’t like these sneaky things are done and people pass bills they don’t read. Trump represents something very fresh and very different for them… What Cruz and Kasich just demonstrated is they can’t beat him without making a backroom deal.
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Posted: 26 Apr 2016 06:29 AM PDT


GOP front runner Donald Trump has slammed the new alliance made between his two remaining rivals Ted Cruz and John Kasich as a “horrible act of desperation.”
Cruz and Kasich have devised a plot to attempt to stop Trump winning the party nomination.
Kasich will step down to allow Cruz a better chance in next week’s Indiana primary, while the Cruz has agreed to abandon his campaign in Oregon and New Mexico as a way of derailing Trump’s path to winning the required amount of delegates to secure the nomination.
“This horrible act of desperation, from two campaigns who have totally failed, makes me even more determined, for the good of the Republican Party and our country, to prevail!” Trump said in a statement early Monday.
“It is sad that two grown politicians have to collude against one person who has only been a politician for ten months in order to try and stop that person from getting the Republican nomination,” Trump noted.
“Governor Kasich, who has only won 1 state out of 41, in other words, he is 1 for 41 and he is not even doing as well as other candidates who could have stubbornly stayed in the race like him but chose not to do so,” Trump added.
“Collusion is often illegal in many other industries and yet these two Washington insiders have had to revert to collusion in order to stay alive,” Trump said, adding that “They are mathematically dead and this act only shows, as puppets of donors and special interests, how truly weak they and their campaigns are.”
If Cruz and Kasich’s plan works, it would mean that the Republican National Convention in Cleveland would be contested, leaving open the possibility for someone other than Trump to be nominated.
“Because of me, everyone now sees that the Republican primary system is totally rigged.” Trump stated.
“When two candidates who have no path to victory get together to stop a candidate who is expanding the party by millions of voters, (all of whom will drop out if I am not in the race) it is yet another example of everything that is wrong in Washington and our political system,” he said.
Trump needs to take approximately 60 percent of the remaining delegates in order to get to 1,237 delegates, the number needed for victory.
Kasich and Cruz appear to be taking direction from “Never Trump” and other anti-Trump organisations who have been calling on Kasich to stand down in Indiana in order to clear the way for Cruz.
Appearing on Fox News Sunday night, Cruz didn’t even mention the collusion plot.
Trump last month said that if he is denied the nomination via a contested convention, he expects that his supporters will riot in the streets.
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Posted by Roberto Abraham Scaruffi at 18:53