Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Wednesday 27 April 2016

The European Union Times


Posted: 27 Apr 2016 05:35 AM PDT

Donald Trump has already forced Mexico to clean up its national image, underscoring how the country suffering from NAFTA could actually benefit from a Trump presidency.
Mexico is launching a massive PR campaign to improve perceptions of the country after Trump exposed many of its problems, but this is a good thing: sometimes it takes your worst critic to enforce needed change.
In fact, Trump’s proposed border wall, hatred of the North American Free Trade Agreement and nationalistic views could help America’s southern neighbor.
For one thing, a lot of people don’t realize NAFTA has fueled mass unemployment in Mexico, which has caused thousands of illegal immigrants to flood into the U.S. looking for jobs.
“There are no jobs [in Mexico] and NAFTA forced the price of corn so low that it’s not economically possible to plant a crop anymore,” Rufino Domínguez, the former coordinator of the Binational Front of Indigenous Organizations,revealed. “We come to the U.S. to work because we can’t get a price for our product at home. There’s no alternative.”
Sin maiz, no hay pais: without corn, there is no country, as the Mexican saying goes.
NAFTA disrupted Mexico’s corn production so badly that 75,000 Iowa farmers were able to grow twice as much corn as 3,000,000 Mexican producers – and at half the cost because the U.S. maintained its corn subsidies under NAFTA.
That resulted in the mass migration of Mexican farm workers flowing into America.
“The big wave in illegal immigration from Mexico began in the 1980s, but it picked up strongly after NAFTA – that wasn’t unexpected,” NPR’s Tim Robbins reported.
And which presidential candidate has spoke out against NAFTA and other destructive trade agreements? Donald Trump.
“It’s a disaster,” he said in Sept. “…We will either renegotiate it, or we will break it.”
And if Trump increases border security between the U.S. and Mexico, that would also force Mexico to curtail its own corruption and drug violence instead of exporting its problems to the U.S.
In contrast, President Obama’s current open borders policy encourages not only unsafe migration but also human trafficking in the U.S. – and right now there’s more people enslaved now than at any time in human history.
“Modern slavery globally has become a $150 billion a year business, with an estimated $99 billion generated annually from commercial sexual exploitation and $51 billion from forced economic exploitation,” the Human 2020 project revealed.
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Posted: 27 Apr 2016 03:35 AM PDT

As we predicted on April 2nd… As of today, April 26, 2016, Ted Cruz is mathematically eliminated from winning the Republican nomination outright.
On April 2nd we predicted that Donald Trump would have 953 delegates as of today (needing only 284 delegates for the nomination) and that Cruz would have 550 delegates as of today (needing 687 to win the nomination).
We also predicted that only 634 delegates would remain and therefore Cruz would need more delegates than would be available.
Ted Cruz is eliminated.
It is clear that Cruz was eliminated tonight.
It is not clear yet on how devastating the final numbers will be for Ted Cruz.
After winning all five primaries tonight — Connecticut, Rhode Island, Delaware, Maryland and Pennsylvania — Donald Trump has 950 delegates so far.
Ted Cruz finished third in Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware and Rhode Island.
There are fewer delegates remaining than we originally projected because the delegates in Wyoming, Colorado and North Dakota were allocated in shady voter-less elections after April 2nd.
After tonight’s primaries Cruz has — 560 delegates after winning one delegate Tuesday.
Cruz needs 677 delegates to reach 1,237 delegates.
There are only 622 available.
It’s over.
Here is the updated chart with tonight’s results.

Our April 2nd projections for Trump and Cruz were very close to the actual results.
Ted Cruz is Mathematically Eliminated from winning the GOP nomination outright and has fewer wins than Bernie Sanders.
UPDATE: Cruz wins 1 delegate in Rhode Island.
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Posted: 27 Apr 2016 03:22 AM PDT

Turkey, an overwhelmingly Muslim country, should have a constitution based on Islam rather than a secular constitution, the speaker of the Turkish parliament has said in a speech. Secularism has been the cornerstone of modern Turkey for decades.
The founder of modern Turkey, Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, reshaped the collapsing Islamic Ottoman Empire in the early 20th century. He founded the state on Turkish nationalism and Western-style secularism, or separation of the state and religion.
However, the currently ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) apparently wants to get rid of one of the pillars of Kemalism ideology.
“We are a Muslim country and so we should have a religious constitution,” said Turkish Parliament Speaker Ismail Kahraman on Monday, lamenting that the name Allah is not mentioned even once in the country’s founding charter.
“Secularism would not have a place in a new constitution,” he said.
Kahraman was addressing an Islamic scholars and writers conference in Istanbul. As the head of the parliament, it’s Kahraman’s job to pen a new draft constitution for Turkey.
AKP has its roots in political Islam and has been pushing for constitutional amendments during its 13-year rule in Turkey. It wants to empower the office of president from a purely ceremonial function to a fully-fledged head of state. Such a reform would benefit incumbent President Tayyip Erdogan, who traded the prime minister’s seat for that of the president’s in 2014.
The reform was a major issue of last year’s general election, with AKP insisting that only strong presidential power can hold Turkey together against security threats such as the Kurdish insurgency. Critics say it would undermine Turkey’s civil rights and give dictatorial powers to Erdogan. Some say he wants to be a sultan, harking back to the Ottoman days.
Turkish secularism did not become absolute even after Ataturk’s reforms. The country has a special government body tasked with promoting Islam, the Diyanet, and funds religious teaching. But AKP champions of political Islam such as the 75-year-old Kahraman want a far greater role for their religion.
The Turkish opposition criticized the speaker’s words. Kemal Kilicdaroglu, the head of the secularist Republican People’s Party (CHP), said that political Islam is the reason why the Middle East is in the grip of sectarian violence.
“Secularism is the primary principle of social peace … Secularism is there to ensure that everyone has religious freedom, Ismail Kahraman!” Kilicdaroglu tweeted.
The speaker’s position was also opposed by the head of the parliament’s constitutional commission and fellow AKP member Mustafa Sentop, who said there were no plans to remove the concept of secularism from the future draft.
The majority of Turkey’s 78-million population is Sunni Muslim, according to Reuters. About a fifth is estimated to be Alevi, which draws from Shia, Sufi and Anatolian folk traditions. There are about 100,000 Christians and 17,000 Jews living in the country.
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Posted: 27 Apr 2016 03:15 AM PDT

GOP front-runner Donald Trump will sit down with Megyn Kelly on May 17 for an hour-long special. Extended portions of the interview will air on FOX News the following night.
People reported:
Donald Trump and Megyn Kelly have put their differences aside for formal sit-down.
Fox announced on Monday that the Republican presidential hopeful will appear on Fox’s hour-long special Megyn Kelly Presents this May 17, with extended portions of the interview airing on The Kelly File on Fox News the following night.
“I look forward to a fascinating exchange – our first sit-down interview together in nearly a year,” Kelly, 45, said in a press release.
The release also notes, “For the first time ever, Kelly will explore how events unfolded with Trump after the August debate as one of the most prominent voices covering the 2016 presidential campaign of the front-runner. She will also examine Trump’s successful campaign for the White House to date and his role in one of the most historic presidential runs in modern times.”
Master of persuasion Scott Adams called this last week!
Megyn Kelly Interview
As I predicted, Trump and Megyn Kelly are planning a one-on-one interview that will be a yuuuuge ratings event. Expect Trump to be polite and professional. Expect Kelly and Trump to be on good terms when it is over. Kelly has been a big part of the story of Trump’s perceived problem with women, and this will probably fix it. If this were a movie, Trump’s critical third act solution would revolve around the Kelly interview.
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Posted: 27 Apr 2016 02:29 AM PDT


Donald Trump gained an even greater lead over his Republican counterparts after winning all five Republican presidential primaries Tuesday.
Being described as a “clean sweep,” Trump easily took the northeastern states of Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island.
“I’m winning by a lot of delegates, and I’m winning by millions of votes,” Trump told Fox News earlier today.
Trump’s victory, which follows last week’s big win in the presidential frontrunner’s home state of New York, moves him that much closer to the 1,237 delegates needed to win the nomination. The win also deals a major blow to both Ted Cruz and John Kasich, who recently joined forces in an attempt to stop the hotel mogul.
As predicted, Ted Cruz came in 3rd in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland and Rhode Island. Ted Cruz only managed to beat John Kasich in Pensylvenia and only by a small margin of 2.2%. Ted Cruz is done. People are sick and tired of this sneaky weasel, especially now with his new alliance, and the numbers show it.
On the democrat side, Clinton secured big wins in Maryland, Pennsylvania and Delaware while Sanders took Rhode Island.
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Posted by Roberto Abraham Scaruffi at 18:55