Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Wednesday, 4 September 2013

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Articles posted on Tuesday, 3 September 2013
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Markets Close Higher, Investor Worries Depress Averages

Written by
Closing Market Commentary For 09-03-2013
Afternoon averages moved to the negative side several times in the afternoon session but closed up just above lackluster - on moderate volume. We are most definitely in a consolation mode as the last 5 sessions show. Tight and constrained all of the major averages have moved sideways building pressure to go one or the other.
Markets closed up in a moderate fashion, with many investors to continue to worry over World affairs. There is no simple answer to whether the markets will continue to go up or face a substantial 'correction' in the next week or so.



What We Read Today 03 September 2013

Econintersect: Click Read more >> below graphic to see today's list.

The top of today's reading list has Gary Shilling's discourse on the promise of the future ........ and the last article is Bloomberg's ranking of the efficiencies of global health care systems - be patient if you start at the top and look for the U.S..



Averages Melt Down On Syrian War Worries

Written by
Midday Market Commentary For 09-03-2013
By noon the markets looked tired and weak on low volume. Around 11:15 the averages started to melt down in earnest below the +0.70% mark.
The was a moment or 2 where the bears were about to upset the apple cart with some heavy selling but the BTFDers saved the day - for now anyway.
I wouldn't bet on anything today in this casino market.



September 2013 Blogger Sentiment Reverses

Econintersect: The Blogger Sentiment Poll released by Ticker Sense shows the bloggers have a fairly bearish market sentiment - a complete reversal from last month.

This blogger poll is very noisy.



'I didn't join Navy to fight for Al-Qaeda': US Servicemen Against Syria Strike

Images have emerged showing U.S. servicemen speaking out against a looming strike against Damascus. Those pictures cannot be verified but the Pentagon is reportedly already looking into the identities of those involved.



August 2013 ISM Manufacturing Survey Again Strengthens

Written by Steven Hansen
The ISM Manufacturing survey for August 2013 showed the survey's expansion strengthened. The New Orders sub-index which historically correlates to the economy showed even a stronger expansion. Read more >>



Construction Growth Was Slightly Above Expectations in July 2013

Written by Steven Hansen
After last month's terrible data, the data returned to the 2013 trend line (aided by backward revision) - but rate of growth still is slightly decelerating.
Read more >>



Markets Gap Up +1% At Opening, Many Investors Wary

Written by
Opening Market Commentary For 09-03-2013
Premarkets were up +1.00% recovering from the previous week of Syrian war scare. Markets are very fragile and most investors wouldn't consider moving one way or the other.
Markets opened up and the DOW moved up to +1.11%, SP500 +1.09% and the NASDAQ +1.27%. Most of the major indices left significant opening gaps representing a bearish outlook. MSFT took a 2 point hit this morning edging down to 31.62 approaching a support around 31.25.
By 10 am the markets had turned very slightly and were melting down, but this is most likely going to be a sea-saw action at this level.



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July 2013 CoreLogic Home Prices Now Up 12.4% Year-over-Year

Econintersect: CoreLogic's Home Price Index (HPI) shows that home prices in the USA in July 2013 are up 12.4% year-over-year (the June report said home prices were up 11.9%).



Stratfor: Obama's Tightrope Walk

By George Friedman, Founder and Chairman, Stratfor
Last week began with certainty that an attack on Syria was inevitable and even imminent. It ended with the coalition supporting the attack somewhere between falling apart and not coming together, and with U.S. President Barack Obama making it clear that an attack was inevitable, maybe in a month or so, if Congress approves, afterSept. 9when it reconvenes.This is a comedy in three parts: the reluctant warrior turning into the raging general and finding his followers drifting away, becoming the reluctant warrior again. Read more >>



How to Invest with DRIPs and Boost Your Returns

Money Morning Article of the Week
by Tony Daltorio, MoneyMorning.com
It's a strategy that isn't discussed often in the financial media, and on top of that, it has an odd name. So if you're wondering why you need to know how to invest with DRIPs, just wait until you learn how powerful they can be.
DRIPs are Dividend Reinvestment Plans - at its most basic, a simple, easy way for long-term investors to reinvest money into a company they already own.
Dividends by themselves are a great thing.
A number of studies over the years have shown that dividends accounted for more than 60% of total U.S. stock market returns since the 1870s.



Rothbard and the Libertarian Populists

by David D'Amato
This article originally appeared 15 August 2013 at mises.org. Recent weeks have seen much speculation by pundits about the nature of 'libertarian populism.' For those who regard all of libertarianism as an ideological whitewash for plutocracy, libertarian populism is clearly a matter of pulling the wool over the eyes of the common man.
Read more >>



Ronald Coase, 102

Econintersect: As a child in England he attended a school for the physically defective because of congential weakness in his legs. The education provided there was not oriented toward "intellectual coasethings" (Coase's words). He managed as a teenager to take some "External Programme" courses at the University of London and from there he gained admission to the London School of Economics to study for a degree in Commerce. This might best be compared to a modern degree in Business Administration. He was on the faculty at the London School of economics from 1935 to 1951. He then came to the U.S. (University of Buffalo, University of Virginia and University of Chicago). Ronald Coase was born 29 December 1910 in Wiillesden (suburban London) and died yesterday 02 September 2013 in Chicago, Illinois.



Infographic of the Day: The Psychology of Poverty - Its Impact on Mental Health

Poverty has an impact on the mental health of all Americans. Those living below the poverty line are three times more likely to have serious psychological distress as compared to those living above the poverty level.

The Great Recession, 2008: U.S. suicide rate was increasing by about 0.12 deaths per 100,000 people between 1999 and 2007, but when the recession hit in 2008, the rate began increasing by an average of 0.51 deaths per 100,000 people each year. This jump resulted in about 1,500 additional deaths from suicide each year after 2008.



Competitors Can't Keep Up With Amazon's Growth

by Felix Richter, Statista.com
Online retailer Amazon.com posted net sales of more than $61 billion for the past year. A number, that none of its U.S. competitors comes even close to match. This chart shows the online sales growth of the largest U.S. e-retailers

In the past decade, the internet has completely changed the way we shop. In the United States alone, e-commerce sales rose from $42 billion in 2002 to almost $190 billion in the past year.



France's Pension Reform Neither Far Nor Fast Enough

Written by Hilary Barnes
Olli Rehn, EU Budget Commissioner, said on August 28 that France should go further and faster with reforms to get its budget deficit under control. The pension reform outlined by Prime Minister Jean-Marc Ayrault on the evening of August 28 may be a good example of how France neither goes far nor fast enough, which may encourage the commission to bring forward the day when it places France's finances under administration through the EU "excessive debt" procedures.



Insider Trading 30 August 2013: Facebook Insiders Selling Again

by Asif Suria
Insider buying increased with insiders purchasing $47.13 million of their stock last week compared to $39.95 million in the week prior. Selling also increased with insiders selling $917.32 million of stock last week compared to $742.11 million in the week prior.
Sell/Buy Ratio: The insider Sell/Buy ratio is calculated by dividing the total insider sales in a given week by total insider purchases that week. The adjusted ratio for last week increased to 19.46. In other words, insiders sold more than 19 times as much stock as they purchased. The Sell/Buy ratio this week compares unfavorably with the prior week, when the ratio stood at 18.57.



Central Banks Split on Rate Moves Last Week

Monetary Policy Week in Review - Aug 26-30, 2013: Brazil, Indonesia raise rates, Hungary and Angola cut, 5 on hold
by Peter Nielsen, Central Bank News
Last week two major emerging market central banks, Brazil and Indonesia, raised their policy rates to stem the decline in their currencies and counter growing inflationary pressure while Hungary and Angola cut rates and five other central banks maintained rates.
Brazil and Indonesia raised rates by 50 basis points as international investors continued to shift funds toward advanced economies in anticipation of improving economic growth, illustrated by the U.S. Federal Reserve's tapering of quantitative easing later this year, possibly already in September.



Assad's Regional Unpopularity

by Felix Richter, Statista.com
As the United States and its European allies consider launching a military strike on Syria in the wake of a chemical attack alleged to have been carried out by Bashar Al-Assad's government, the Pew Research Center has revealed that the regime has few friends in the region.

This chart shows public opinion on Bashar al-Assad before the alleged chemical attack.