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Diaoyutai
Disputes Resurface
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China Won't Yield on Disputes with Neighbors, Foreign Minister
Says (2014-03-08) (New
York Times, By Edward Wong) The Chinese foreign minister took a strong stand on
China’s growing territorial disputes with neighboring nations, saying, “There is
no room for compromise” with Japan and China will “never accept unreasonable
demands from smaller countries,” an apparent reference to Southeast Asian
nations.
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U.S.
Pivot to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
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Why Taiwan Matters (2014-02-28) (National
Interest, By Iskander Rehman) Abandoning Taiwan would likely fail to improve the
Sino-U.S. relationship. In addition, the abandonment of Taiwan might
considerably enhance China’s geostrategic position in Asia and endanger that of
the United States and its allies. Last but not least, forsaking the small island
democracy would severely erode American credibility in the Indo-Pacific, add
fuel to an ongoing regional arms race, and encourage nuclear proliferation.
(cf. Say
Goodbye to Taiwan,
By John Mearsheimer,The
National Interest)
Mearsheimer is Dangerously Optimistic (2014-03-08) (The
Diplomat, By James R. Holmes) Mearsheimer’s claim that China’s military power is
significantly inferior to the U.S. misses the point. US Navy Cuts Affect Taiwan: Report (2014-03-09) (Taipei
Times, By William Lowther) Decisions being taken in Washington on the US Navy’s
budget could affect the likelihood or outcome of a conflict with China over
Taiwan, a new study from the Congressional Research Service says. A Spring of
Opportunity for the United States' “Pacific President” (2014-02-26) (PacNet
#16, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Ernest Z. Bower) As he approaches the spring of
2014, Obama must decide if he will fulfill this legacy of the United States'
first "Pacific president."
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DPP
Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
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Beijing Open to Ma-Xi Meeting in a ‘Third
Location’ (2014-03-05) (Taipei
Times) There is plenty of “room for imagination” about a proposed summit between
the leaders of China and Taiwan, including the possibility of holding the
meeting in a “third location,” China’s ARATS Vice Chairman Sun Yafu
said. Ma-Xi Meeting Could Be ‘Domestic’: MAC (2014-03-06) (Taipei
Times) The APEC leaders’ summit in Beijing this year would be the most suitable
occasion for a meeting between President Ma Ying-jeou and Chinese President Xi
Jinping because it would allow China to interpret the gathering as a “domestic
affair,” MAC Deputy Minister Lin Chu-chia said. Taiwan Not Fully Sold on ‘1992 Consensus’: ARATS (2014-03-07) (China
Post) Beijing's top cross-strait negotiator said that the “1992 consensus” has
yet to receive universal acceptance in Taiwan. MAC Deputy Chief Now Secretary-General of SEF (2014-03-08) (China
Post) According to local reports, future SEF negotiations with the ARATS will be
steered by the MAC, whereas the foundation itself will focus mainly on
cross-strait exchanges and related services.
DPP Wants to Renegotiate Service Pact (2014-03-04) (Taipei
Times) With the legislature set to review a controversial service trade
agreement with China during the current session, the DPP said it was aiming to
force a renegotiation of the accord.
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PLA
and Military Balance
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China Announces 12.2% Increase in National
Defense (2014-03-05) (New
York Times, By Edward Wong) China announced that it would increase its military
budget for 2014 to almost $132 billion, a 12.2 percent rise over last
year. The Black Box of China's Military (2014-03-07) (Foreign
Policy, By Isaac Stone Fish) Beijing is spending hundreds of billions of dollars
on defense, but no one quite knows what they're up to.
Chinese Could Be Ready to Invade in 2020: MND (2014-03-06) (Taipei
Times) China is boosting its combat capabilities to the point at which it could
mount a full cross-strait attack in 2020, according to a new report from the
Ministry of National Defense. Taiwan Could Withstand Attack for a Month: Yen (2014-03-07) (Taipei
Times) Taiwan’s military will be able to withstand a Chinese attack for one
month, Minister of National Defense Yen Ming told the legislature’s Foreign
Affairs and National Defense Committee.
Prototype Missile Ship to be Launched Later in
Month (2014-03-03) (CNA)
A locally developed prototype missile boat will be launched later this month as
part of Taiwan's efforts to beef up its naval defense capabilities, the Navy
said.
DPP to Unveil Plan for Indigenous Submarine (2014-03-03) (CNA)
DPP will unveil the fifth chapter of its defense policy blue paper March 4,
including a detailed plan for indigenous submarines.
Increase Defense Budget to 3% of GDP, DPP Says (2014-03-05) (Taipei
Times) DPP released the party’s “blue paper” on defense policy, urging the
government to speed up the development of submarines and increase its military
spending to 3 percent of the country’s GDP in light of China’s growing military
strength. MND Pushes for Indigenous and US-Made Subs (2014-03-07) (China
Post) Taiwan has been pushing the United States to sell diesel-powered
submarines and studying the feasibility in building its own ones simultaneously,
Defense Minister Yen Ming said. Defense Talks in US Productive: DPP (2014-03-07) (Taipei
Times, By William Lowther) DPP officials held a series of meetings this week in
Washington to discuss national security issues with US academics, politicians
and members of US President Barack Obama’s administration.
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Taiwan's
Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
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Party Identification
Tracking Analysis in Taiwan, February 2014 (2014-03-05) (TISR)
Taiwan Indicators Survey Research released its Februarysurvey
results (in
Chinese) on the public's party identities. Of those surveyed, 29.2%
self-identified as supporters of the KMT or other Pan-Blue parties, 32.2%
expressed support for the DPP or other Pan-Green parties, and 36.8%
self-identified as independent.
Government Wants Australia Economic Cooperation
Pact (2014-03-05) (China
Post) President Ma Ying-jeou said that the administration would like to move
toward an economic cooperation agreement with Australia.
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China's
Rise and Its Domestic Issues
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Xi's Reform Agenda: Promises and Risks (2014-03-06) (China-US
Focus, By Cheng Li) How can we reconcile the fantastic opportunities and
potentially enormous risks that lie ahead for the world’s second-largest
economy? Contrary to the widespread pessimism that currently holds sway, I am
optimistic for several reasons.
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