Roberto Abraham Scaruffi

Monday, 3 November 2014

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2014-11-03 | NO.18(43) epaper |
South China Sea Disputes
China's ‘Eternal Prosperity’: Is Island Expansion a Precursor to South China Sea ADIZ? (2014-10-23)
(China Brief 14(20), Jamestown Foundation, By Peter Wood) Woody Island, known in Chinese as “Yongxing (Eternal Prosperity) Island,” is an important part of China’s territorial strategy in the South China Sea.

Beijing Zeroes in on Energy Potential of South China Sea
 (2014-10-29)
(New York Times, By Chris Horton) Much of the muscle-flexing over disputed waters in the South China Sea is political. But China is also interested in the oil and natural gas that might lie below the waters. 
Diaoyutai Disputes Resurface
Beijing Prepares for APEC Summit amid Possible Sino-Japanese Thaw (2014-10-23)
(China Brief 14(20), Jamestown Foundation, By Nathan Beauchamp-Mustafaga) Beijing has seized its platform as host of the APEC summit to pursue political gains and take the driver’s seat in its most challenging relationships—the United States and Japan.

China Plays Its Coy on Xi-Abe Meeting
 (2014-10-31)
(The Diplomat, By Shannon Tiezzi) China’s position on relations with Japan includes three demands. First, Japan must adopt “a proper attitude” toward history. Second, Japan should admit the existence of a dispute over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands and “work with China to settle it in a peaceful way.” Third, Abe should “clarify” his administration’s intentions in easing restrictions on Japan’s military. 
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
America in Northeast Asia: Credibility and Deterrence (2014-10-27)
(The Diplomat, By Robert Dujarric) I argued it was likely, though not certain, that a PLA attack on Taiwan would push the U.S. to respond with force. In the case of Japan, it’s nearly impossible to think a Chinese assault, even one limited to remote islands, would not lead to a Sino-American war if Japan required U.S. assistance. 
Cross-Strait Issues
Taiwan Leader Stresses Support for Hong Kong Protests (2014-11-01)
(New York Times, By Keith Bradsher and Austin Ramzy) President Ma Ying-jeou of Taiwan risked antagonizing Beijing by voicing support for protesters in Hong Kong and for greater democracy in mainland China even as he sought further free-trade agreements with the mainland. Transcript of New York Times Interview with President Ma Ying-jeou of Taiwan

Nation Juggles China, US, Japan Ties: Ex-NSC Chief
 (2014-10-30)
(CNA) Taiwan maintains good relations with the United States, China and Japan, but its maneuvering space has been squeezed due to the competition and misgivings among the three, Su Chi, former National Security Council head, said.
Ma-Xi Meeting ‘Not Impossible’ (2014-10-29)
(China Post) It is “not impossible” for a meeting between leaders of both sides of the Taiwan Strait to take place in the future, yet the meeting will not take place until both sides have agreed on several important issues, Richard Bush said.
Harvard Academic Sees irrevocable Taipei, Beijing Split (2014-10-31)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Chinese plans to take over Taiwan may have been postponed indefinitely, Harvard professor Richard Rosecrance says.

Taiwan Eases Travel Restrictions for Chinese Visitors to Its Islands
 (2014-10-28)
(CNA) Starting next year, visitors from China will no longer be required to apply for a permit to visit Taiwan's major outlying islands, the Mainland Affairs Council confirmed.

NSB Denies Recruiting Chinese Students (2014-10-28)
(Taipei Times) The National Security Bureau denied a report by China’s Global Times that it is recruiting Chinese students studying in Taiwan as intelligence sources.
Justice Probes Influence of Foreign Cash (2014-10-28)
(CNA) The Ministry of Justice said it would launch an investigation into the alleged use of Chinese money for influence peddling as campaigns heat up ahead of the Nov. 29 nine-in-one elections. 
Senior Civil Servants Barred from PRC Study (2014-10-30)
(Taipei Times) Senior civil servants and officials whose work relates to national security are to be barred from pursuing advanced studies in China as of today, Minister of the Interior Chen Wei-zen announced.
Taiwan's Investment in China Drops 27% in 2013 (2014-11-01)
(China Post) A recent research report showed that Taiwanese investment in mainland China saw a significant 27-percent drop, concluding that Taiwanese businesses no longer find it easy to gain market share in China.
Military Balance and Arms Sales
‘Carrier-Killer’ Starts Trials (2014-10-28)
(CNA) The nation’s first US$72.39 million stealth missile corvette began a round of sea trials in waters off the nation’s east coast, military officials said.

Armed Forces Officers Charged with Spying (2014-11-02)
(Taipei Times) Up to 10 armed forces officers, including several senior air force officers, were implicated in a recent judicial probe into a spying ring suspected of passing on classified military material on weapons and radar systems to Chinese intelligence agencies.
Weary of US Stalling, Push Builds for Subs (2014-10-28)
(Reuters, By J.R. Wu) The navy is pushing to develop an indigenous diesel-electric submarines program, but nations with sub-building experience remain unwilling to offer help.
Submarine Program to be Scaled Down: Report (2014-11-01)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Washington is said to be “backing away” from helping Taiwan to buy or build full-scale diesel-electric submarines.
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey, Second Half of October 2014 (2014-10-31)
(TISR) President Ma Ying-jeou's approval rating rose 2.8 percentage points over the last ten days of October, according to the latest Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).

The Cross-Taiwan Strait Diplomatic Truce in the Pacific
 (2014-10-27)
(Pacific Islands Society, By Dalton Lin) The cross-Taiwan Strait diplomatic truce built upon a consensus of common interests is fragile, and any cracks in this consensus can quickly torpedo the armistice. The resumption of a cross-strait diplomatic antagonism, unfortunately, will serve no party’s interests. Neither China nor Taiwan. Nor the PICs.
Legislators Freeze Foreign Affairs Fund (2014-10-28)
(Taipei Times) Concerned about foreign influence on the next presidential election, legislators demanded a special report justifying a requested budget increase.
Bush Wants to ‘Clarify Concerns’ with DPP (2014-10-29)
(Taipei Times) Former AIT chairman Richard Bush said in Taipei that he would like to talk with the DPP to clarify its concerns about alleged US intervention in Taiwan’s elections.
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
China Signals Greater Oversight of Military, Media (2014-10-29)
(Wall Street Journal, By Josh Chin and Brian Spegele) China’s Communist Party signaled plans to increase legal restrictions online, step up supervision of the military, and set up new laws to combat terrorism and corruption as part of a wide-ranging legal overhaul designed to bolster party rule. CCP Central Resolution on Some Significant Issues Regarding Comprehensively Advancing Governing the Country According to Law (in Chinese)

Protesters in Hong Kong on Edge as Police Track Their Online Footprints
 (2014-10-29)
(New York Times, By Michael Forsythe and Alan Wong) Even if the police eventually drop the case, a man’s arrest over posts about the pro-democracy demonstrations may already have served a purpose.

Taking Back Hong Kong's Future (2014-10-30)
(New York Times, By Joshua Wong Chi-Fung) The people of my generation, the so-called post-90s generation, want more. In a world where ideas and ideals flow freely, we want what everybody else in an advanced society seems to have: a say in our future.
Beijing Loses Friends in Hong Kong (2014-10-30)
(Wall Street Journal) Beijing’s rulers, or at least some factions among them, are growing distrustful of their erstwhile allies in Hong Kong’s nicest boardrooms.

China Approves Security Law Emphasizing Counterespionage (2014-11-02)
(New York Times, By Didi Kirsten Tatlow) President Xi Jinping of China has signed a new Counterespionage Law, replacing the 1993 National Security Law with an updated set of rules that will more closely target foreign spies and Chinese individuals and organizations who collaborate with them.

Executive Editor: Dalton Lin
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